inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 114 Excitement9.7 [91] MVPTyrese Haliburton (IND): +64.4%
Indiana Pacers 115 Comeback25.5 [60] LVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -18.5%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brook Lopez0.350,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.350.210.150.011192%0.381-0.033100%0.01
Gary Trent Jr.0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.37,0.310.060.250.00764%0.3100.0000%0.00
AJ Green0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.01560%0.0700.0000%0.00
Taurean Prince0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.050.040.010.001656%0.102-0.0500%0.00
Jericho Sims0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.003100%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.01560%0.092-0.10580%0.01
Damian Lillard-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07-0.06-0.000.011444%0.013-0.08683%0.03
Kyle Kuzma-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00945%0.013-0.09250%-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.190,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.190.04-0.220.001461%-0.093-0.09333%-0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,-0.08,0.640.640.030.61-0.001254%0.781-0.142100%0.08
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.140.04-0.041576%0.333-0.12367%-0.00
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.050.00967%0.1200.0000%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.02-0.001261%0.121-0.034100%0.04
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.070.070.11-0.030.01680%0.0700.00367%-0.15
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00260%0.0400.001100%0.01
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.010.00762%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Myles Turner0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.030.011248%0.051-0.03367%-0.01
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16-0.16-0.03-0.130.001141%-0.131-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.43.529.616.331.63.438.5149.3
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.1134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +22.4%
IND +24.1%
MIL -15.0%
IND +7.4%
IND +11.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILINDNBAMILINDNBA
this game15.513.714.4115.2117.3113.1
season14.413.8114.2115.1
opponent14.714.3112.9111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.614.915.816.915.5
IND13.612.313.016.613.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Trent Jr.37380.57-1.071.650.348-91716.115.11.0215.412.72.67
Brook Lopez71720.02-0.520.53-0.4516-173315.914.61.2914.013.10.84
Giannis Antetokounmpo6768-0.11-0.390.27-0.4110-112116.513.43.1313.913.40.53
Damian Lillard7877-0.16-0.340.19-0.336-71315.416.0-0.5813.713.8-0.03
Taurean Prince6767-0.23-0.270.04-0.354-5916.313.72.5813.614.1-0.58
AJ Green4442-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.08-87-1514.216.6-2.4014.213.40.88
Kevin Porter Jr.3736-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.14-65-1113.816.5-2.7812.914.2-1.29
Jericho Sims2826-0.520.02-0.53-0.02-1716-3314.615.9-1.2913.114.0-0.84
Kyle Kuzma6664-1.440.94-2.37-0.91-1817-3515.315.9-0.6712.915.3-2.34

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Sheppard35361.20-0.701.900.9110-91912.614.3-1.7212.917.0-4.10
Pascal Siakam75770.56-0.060.610.299-81713.713.8-0.0615.914.21.69
T.J. McConnell45470.360.140.230.0710-91913.513.9-0.4513.916.9-3.01
Bennedict Mathurin48490.280.220.060.164-3713.613.9-0.2613.817.1-3.32
Tyrese Haliburton60610.250.250.010.34-34-714.213.11.1116.713.63.02
Obi Toppin11120.100.40-0.300.042-1314.113.70.4013.115.8-2.74
Aaron Nesmith62600.070.43-0.360.45-1314-2713.813.60.1516.913.43.48
Andrew Nembhard57560.060.44-0.380.44-1314-2713.913.50.4216.813.82.97
Thomas Bryant4042-0.040.54-0.59-0.164-3713.913.60.3613.417.1-3.67
Myles Turner5755-0.330.83-1.17-0.19-56-1113.813.60.2117.612.94.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.9,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.85,0.78,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 88, SAC 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.89,0.77,0.42,190.3%
MEM 92, LAC 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.27,189.7%
LAC 93, SEA 980.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.58,189.5%