NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	8.6 [157]		MVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): +9.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	98		Comeback	1.6 [975]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -50.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	11	73%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Avent	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	17	49%	0.02	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26	-0.01	-0.22	0.03	21	56%	-0.12	3	-0.14	10	80%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.5	-0.15	-0.35	0.01	11	46%	-0.28	6	-0.22	6	83%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	78%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.05
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	13	69%	0.08	6	-0.22	9	44%	-0.14
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	6	36%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.14	-0.03	18	34%	-0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	0.01	15	56%	-0.04	4	-0.19	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	63.7	1.7	29.4	14.6	25.2	2.4	41.9	178.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +37.0%

LAC -2.7%

SEA +25.7%

LAC -8.6%

LAC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	16.9	13.3	15.2	97.9	102.1	101.7
season	15.6	14.9		95.5	103.5
opponent	15.4	14.3		102.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	19.9	15.4	16.2	16.5	16.9
SEA	14.4	14.0	12.1	12.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	44	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	0	-5	19.0	15.1	3.90	15.8	11.3	4.48
Anthony Avent	4	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-3	1	20.0	16.7	3.25	12.0	13.4	-1.38
Eric Murdock	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	18.6	16.6	2.01	14.2	13.2	1.00
Troy Hudson	67	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.14	1	-6	7	16.3	18.4	-2.09	13.4	13.1	0.26
Lamar Odom	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-6	7	16.3	19.4	-3.16	13.2	13.8	-0.60
Eric Piatkowski	22	22	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-1	-3	16.3	17.1	-0.74	13.4	13.3	0.09
Brian Skinner	92	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	16.5	28.0	-11.48	13.2	16.7	-3.48
Derek Anderson	85	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	-1	-3	17.1	15.2	1.88	12.9	16.3	-3.36
Tyrone Nesby	71	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.42	-5	0	-5	16.7	17.3	-0.60	12.3	16.0	-3.66

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	74	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-9	23	13.6	12.3	1.26	17.3	15.4	1.88
Horace Grant	87	84	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	1	3	13.1	14.9	-1.76	16.5	20.0	-3.52
Gary Payton	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	1	3	12.9	15.5	-2.66	16.4	19.4	-2.98
Vernon Maxwell	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	9	-13	12.3	15.3	-3.08	16.4	17.9	-1.51
Ruben Patterson	49	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	-3	11	13.7	12.9	0.86	16.7	17.0	-0.27
Brent Barry	71	69	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.19	2	3	-1	14.0	11.3	2.72	17.0	16.5	0.48
Rashard Lewis	34	36	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	1	3	14.0	12.9	1.05	18.7	15.8	2.91
Greg Foster	20	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	12	-19	13.2	13.3	-0.12	17.1	16.8	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 97, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.81,0.84,0.69,0.74,1	92.7%
CHA 81, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,1	91.9%
OKC 84, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.67,0.42,1	91.7%