NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	88		Excitement	8.7 [163]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): +19.9%
Sacramento Kings	90		Comeback	1.8 [679]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -30.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.11,0.11	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	10	60%	0.21	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.05	-0.02	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	63%	0.07	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	8	31%	-0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.31	-0.02	-0.27	0.02	15	53%	-0.19	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.07

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.12	-0.00	9	73%	0.25	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.02	9	74%	0.12	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.02	0.02	-0.09	0.10	-0.00	5	20%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.11	-0.07	26	51%	0.09	4	-0.15	7	57%	-0.03
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	6	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	25%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	4.4	29.4	16.6	29.6	2.3	37.5	146.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +41.7%

DEN -4.9%

DEN -20.8%

SAC +31.5%

SAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.1	94.6	97.8	105.2
season	14.0	15.4		104.5	104.5
opponent	14.7	14.9		107.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.4	15.9	15.5	16.5	15.2
SAC	14.8	16.8	15.2	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	20	21	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	13.7	15.7	-1.91	16.0	15.9	0.14
Timofey Mozgov	40	38	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-6	10	14.2	16.1	-1.88	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Ty Lawson	71	69	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.39	12	-14	26	13.9	19.6	-5.75	16.4	14.3	2.06
Kenneth Faried	31	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	1	-4	15.6	15.1	0.50	14.4	16.6	-2.16
Randy Foye	63	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-9	16	14.9	16.0	-1.11	16.6	14.5	2.07
Anthony Randolph	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	4	-10	14.9	15.4	-0.56	15.5	16.1	-0.57
Nate Robinson	33	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	4	-10	17.0	14.3	2.76	15.2	16.3	-1.04
Evan Fournier	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-2	2	15.0	15.5	-0.49	15.4	16.3	-0.86
JJ Hickson	62	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.41	1	-3	4	15.1	15.6	-0.50	16.6	14.4	2.16
Andre Miller	41	40	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.15	-13	11	-24	17.3	13.7	3.61	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Darrell Arthur	33	33	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	6	-14	17.5	14.0	3.42	16.0	15.8	0.22

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	73	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-2	6	16.4	13.8	2.58	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Greivis Vasquez	70	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.47	2	0	2	15.6	16.8	-1.22	15.5	14.5	0.92
Isaiah Thomas	54	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	1	0	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.6	14.7	0.86
Ben McLemore	33	32	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-9	20	14.7	16.5	-1.82	16.1	14.8	1.34
John Salmons	52	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	-7	16	16.0	15.8	0.16	15.5	14.9	0.58
Jason Thompson	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.42	-7	9	-16	16.4	15.6	0.80	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Charles Hayes	22	21	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-2	6	14.5	16.3	-1.83	15.8	15.1	0.73
Marcus Thornton	59	61	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.42	-9	11	-20	16.5	14.7	1.82	14.8	16.1	-1.34
Patrick Patterson	52	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-1	4	15.8	16.0	-0.28	15.8	14.6	1.18
Travis Outlaw	14	14	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	10	-18	14.5	16.1	-1.64	12.1	15.8	-3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.89,0.77,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, SEA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.58,1	91.1%
OKC 84, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.67,0.42,1	90.3%
LAL 109, UTA 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.59,1	90.0%