inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 104 Excitement6.2 [591] MVPA.J. Lawson (TOR): +22.7%
Toronto Raptors 119 Comeback1.4 [966] LVPRJ Barrett (TOR): -12.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Gill0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01371%0.0400.0010%-0.00
Tristan Vukcevic0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.021548%0.071-0.031100%0.00
Jordan Poole0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.001262%0.102-0.062100%0.01
JT Thor0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02350%0.0400.0000%0.00
Corey Kispert0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.021254%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bilal Coulibaly0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00180%0.041-0.01367%-0.01
Jaylen Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00550%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyshawn George-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.08-0.030.05872%0.031-0.032100%0.01
AJ Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.01-0.06720%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Bub Carrington-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.041123%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Justin Champagnie-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.00933%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Alex Sarr-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.030.031937%-0.1000.00580%-0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
A.J. Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.160.05-0.022160%0.251-0.021164%0.01
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.011254%0.071-0.02450%-0.01
Jared Rhoden0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01955%0.0400.002100%0.01
Orlando Robinson0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.010.04965%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Jamison Battle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.02944%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Colin Castleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01558%0.022-0.05250%-0.00
Scottie Barnes0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.01-0.041933%-0.061-0.03450%0.00
RJ Barrett0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.05-0.031835%-0.082-0.05425%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.42.424.515.225.52.427.4125.9
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +15.5%
WAS -5.0%
TOR +38.6%
TOR +1.0%
WAS -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASTORNBAWASTORNBA
this game14.514.514.4104.0120.2113.0
season14.013.9105.3109.0
opponent14.614.1113.0117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.612.315.615.414.5
TOR16.015.313.812.814.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JT Thor16150.11-0.610.72-0.014-192312.114.9-2.8016.414.12.28
Anthony Gill25250.06-0.560.620.031-161715.314.21.0714.814.30.50
Bilal Coulibaly1717-0.05-0.450.390.01-2-131114.514.5-0.0116.514.02.49
Tristan Vukcevic5051-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-151515.213.81.3613.515.5-2.05
Corey Kispert4747-0.08-0.420.34-0.235-202514.814.20.5413.415.4-1.94
Jaylen Martin1516-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-11715.314.30.9313.914.6-0.63
AJ Johnson4546-0.18-0.320.130.11-10-5-516.113.22.8814.314.6-0.30
Kyshawn George6159-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.01-13-2-1113.815.5-1.6914.514.40.07
Bub Carrington5656-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.04-13-2-1113.815.3-1.5414.714.20.45
Justin Champagnie5151-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.05-13-2-1114.914.00.9413.915.1-1.20
Jordan Poole4947-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-150-1513.715.2-1.5015.713.42.32
Alex Sarr6865-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.03-150-1514.215.1-0.9514.514.40.04

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
RJ Barrett57600.450.050.390.041411314.714.10.6414.314.7-0.41
A.J. Lawson71710.410.090.32-0.031501513.716.4-2.6914.713.80.92
Orlando Robinson52520.380.120.25-0.1217-21915.113.81.2515.513.42.04
Garrett Temple17170.340.160.17-0.02123912.614.8-2.1916.414.12.26
Jamal Shead54560.260.240.010.11510-513.615.5-1.8414.514.50.05
Jared Rhoden52510.240.26-0.02-0.05105514.114.9-0.7415.313.61.74
Jamison Battle26260.190.31-0.12-0.0178-113.914.7-0.7914.314.5-0.18
Colin Castleton55560.130.37-0.240.16-116-1714.015.0-0.9613.815.4-1.62
Immanuel Quickley59600.080.42-0.340.14-217-1915.413.02.3713.615.8-2.24
Scottie Barnes52510.030.47-0.430.09-217-1916.112.73.4013.715.3-1.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 99, OKC 1120.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.7%
MIL 89, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,194.7%
CLE 93, DAL 1140.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%