NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	123		Excitement	4.2 [786]		MVP	Jeff Dowtin Jr. (PHI): +10.8%
Atlanta Hawks	132		Comeback	1.2 [918]		LVP	Lonnie Walker IV (PHI): -14.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	0.00	0.07	9	89%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Adem Bona	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jared Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.12	0.00	0.12	13	63%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.14	-0.01	0.15	25	67%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Justin Edwards	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Alex Reese	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.03	14	35%	-0.09	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	8	70%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	-0.00	-0.03	16	67%	0.16	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	14	76%	0.16	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	9	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.07	13	70%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	51%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	11	32%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	27.5	14.4	26.6	2.4	34.6	132.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +29.3%

ATL +6.4%

ATL +12.5%

ATL +2.3%

PHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	13.3	14.4	120.6	128.2	113.0
season	15.0	13.3		110.7	112.1
opponent	14.4	14.2		113.9	116.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.4	16.8	15.2	13.2	14.8
ATL	15.0	12.7	13.0	12.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Council IV	63	63	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-18	27	14.4	15.5	-1.06	13.1	13.6	-0.54
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	59	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-19	29	14.6	15.1	-0.49	13.5	12.9	0.59
Guerschon Yabusele	58	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.42	7	-16	23	15.4	14.1	1.27	13.9	12.4	1.54
Justin Edwards	43	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	14.7	14.9	-0.27	12.6	13.8	-1.24
Adem Bona	49	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	5	-19	14.7	14.9	-0.19	12.7	13.7	-0.96
Alex Reese	38	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	13.7	15.5	-1.75	13.9	12.9	1.09
Lonnie Walker IV	66	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	4	-17	15.1	14.4	0.64	13.3	13.2	0.19
Jared Butler	52	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.16	-21	12	-33	15.1	14.6	0.46	12.8	13.8	-0.98
Quentin Grimes	82	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	1	-11	15.2	13.2	2.03	13.4	12.7	0.66

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vit Krejci	35	36	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-10	29	12.8	13.5	-0.71	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Terance Mann	74	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	-1	11	12.6	15.1	-2.50	14.1	16.7	-2.60
Mouhamed Gueye	45	44	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-5	19	13.6	13.0	0.58	15.9	14.0	1.85
Keaton Wallace	63	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	-7	23	13.5	13.0	0.49	15.2	14.2	1.03
Onyeka Okongwu	63	62	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	9	-9	13.5	12.9	0.57	15.2	14.3	0.84
Dyson Daniels	71	68	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	13	-17	13.5	12.7	0.80	15.2	14.2	0.99
Clint Capela	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	0	9	12.9	13.5	-0.57	14.3	15.2	-0.84
Georges Niang	56	56	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.31	-7	16	-23	13.4	13.1	0.30	14.2	15.7	-1.49
Zaccharie Risacher	68	66	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.43	-12	21	-33	13.5	12.8	0.71	14.8	14.8	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 84, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAL 75, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 93, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%