NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	110		Excitement	11.1 [27]		MVP	Draymond Green (GSW): +30.8%
Golden State Warriors	115		Comeback	3.1 [508]		LVP	Quinten Post (GSW): -15.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.03	0.21	-0.03	11	50%	0.31	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.05
Malik Beasley	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.02	14	50%	0.18	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.06
Jalen Duren	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.01	-0.07	11	52%	0.08	1	0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Cade Cunningham	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	17	70%	0.50	9	-0.42	10	90%	0.02
Isaiah Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	78%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.06
Simone Fontecchio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	6	43%	0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.31	0.31	-0.03	0.32	-0.02	7	60%	0.41	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.03,-0.02,0.07,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.15	-0.04	22	57%	0.36	4	-0.10	12	100%	0.13
Jimmy Butler III	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	17	63%	0.36	4	-0.19	7	86%	0.04
Gui Santos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	8	68%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	11	46%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Pat Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	10	30%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	4.6	36.2	14.6	33.2	2.0	42.1	163.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +6.5%

GSW +10.8%

GSW +22.0%

GSW +4.8%

GSW +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	GSW	NBA	DET	GSW	NBA
this game	12.1	14.9	14.4	103.8	107.5	113.1
season	14.1	14.4		114.0	113.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		110.4	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.2	12.1	11.5	11.7	12.1
GSW	14.0	14.1	15.6	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	38	38	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.03	6	-11	17	12.2	12.1	0.14	14.5	15.1	-0.67
Simone Fontecchio	23	25	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.03	3	-8	11	10.7	12.5	-1.77	13.0	15.5	-2.49
Ausar Thompson	37	38	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-4	3	11.9	12.3	-0.40	16.5	14.0	2.51
Tim Hardaway Jr.	62	61	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	-1	-3	13.0	10.9	2.11	15.9	13.7	2.20
Ronald Holland II	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-5	5	13.8	11.7	2.08	16.1	14.6	1.49
Cade Cunningham	84	86	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-9	13	11.8	13.4	-1.62	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Dennis Schroder	53	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	2	-9	12.6	11.6	0.96	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Malik Beasley	65	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.47	-4	-1	-3	11.2	13.7	-2.50	14.2	16.0	-1.81
Tobias Harris	81	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.47	-6	1	-7	12.1	12.1	0.00	14.7	15.6	-0.95
Jalen Duren	65	65	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	11	-27	12.3	11.8	0.52	15.0	14.8	0.20

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gui Santos	53	51	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-7	19	15.2	14.6	0.67	12.5	11.7	0.82
Stephen Curry	73	76	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-6	17	15.2	14.4	0.77	12.1	12.2	-0.11
Draymond Green	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-6	17	15.3	14.1	1.20	12.0	12.4	-0.48
Moses Moody	82	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.44	2	3	-1	15.0	14.7	0.24	11.6	14.0	-2.40
Buddy Hield	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	3	-1	13.4	15.9	-2.45	12.8	11.7	1.08
Jimmy Butler III	82	78	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	5	-5	15.6	12.8	2.80	11.7	13.2	-1.53
Gary Payton II	50	53	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	2	1	13.7	15.9	-2.19	12.3	12.0	0.28
Trayce Jackson-Davis	6	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	7	-9	10.8	15.1	-4.32	9.8	12.2	-2.44
Kevon Looney	26	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	12	-19	12.8	15.6	-2.82	13.0	11.8	1.20
Pat Spencer	6	6	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	12	-19	16.3	14.8	1.51	11.2	12.2	-1.01
Quinten Post	45	43	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.28	0	5	-5	16.4	13.8	2.65	12.8	11.7	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.36,0.43,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.31,0.6,0.66,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.59,1	92.7%
LAC 103, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.95,1	92.2%
PHX 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	91.7%