inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 111 Excitement5.2 [669] MVPPaolo Banchero (ORL): +25.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 109 Comeback1.1 [345] LVPKyle Kuzma (MIL): -10.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paolo Banchero0.250,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.250.150.10-0.011669%0.292-0.041070%0.01
Cole Anthony0.120,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.120.14-0.010.011379%0.202-0.082100%0.01
Franz Wagner0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.03-0.011751%0.0900.001100%0.00
Anthony Black0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.02-0.03961%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Tristan da Silva0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.01456%0.0300.001100%0.00
Goga Bitadze0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jonathan Isaac0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Caleb Houstan0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01747%0.032-0.041100%0.00
Gary Harris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.02850%-0.021-0.022100%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.140.140.190.010.072365%0.171-0.031164%-0.02
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.070.001065%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.026100%0.102-0.0300%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.014100%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Jericho Sims0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.011100%0.011-0.0200%0.00
AJ Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,-0.09-0.090.07-0.140.021865%0.014-0.104100%0.02
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.001039%-0.081-0.02862%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.02.031.014.832.51.836.8146.9
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.2134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +30.5%
ORL +3.3%
ORL +1.9%
ORL +8.1%
ORL +6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMILNBAORLMILNBA
this game16.314.214.4118.1114.7113.1
season15.414.4108.0113.5
opponent14.214.4111.9108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.115.315.217.716.3
MIL15.712.814.813.614.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wendell Carter Jr.60620.430.070.370.266-41015.916.9-1.0214.813.01.84
Paolo Banchero75740.360.140.220.42-24-615.718.4-2.6714.214.20.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope73710.360.140.210.47-46-1016.116.9-0.7314.513.31.22
Cole Anthony60620.360.140.210.128-61415.517.7-2.2214.912.91.93
Franz Wagner75750.330.170.160.45-46-1016.316.20.1014.214.2-0.06
Jonathan Isaac19200.180.32-0.130.016-41014.116.9-2.8013.014.5-1.52
Gary Harris23250.180.32-0.150.006-41016.516.20.2513.614.4-0.87
Anthony Black36360.160.34-0.190.33-68-1417.615.52.1513.514.6-1.17
Tristan da Silva19210.140.36-0.220.024-2618.415.72.6714.214.2-0.01
Caleb Houstan12110.080.42-0.34-0.075-3817.716.11.6813.514.3-0.74
Goga Bitadze1818-0.070.57-0.640.19-911-2019.315.63.7012.614.6-1.96

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jericho Sims2524-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-20-213.314.5-1.1918.315.62.75
Kevin Porter Jr.4543-0.12-0.380.25-0.306-81413.215.1-1.9017.914.92.99
AJ Green5758-0.17-0.330.16-0.325-71213.215.7-2.4316.016.8-0.84
Kyle Kuzma7573-0.17-0.330.15-0.263-5814.413.40.9517.512.05.46
Taurean Prince7979-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.496-81414.214.2-0.0616.515.01.53
Giannis Antetokounmpo6969-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.422-4614.513.50.9615.718.0-2.33
Brook Lopez5354-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.11-119-2015.113.02.1114.618.6-3.98
Damian Lillard7270-0.830.33-1.16-0.27-1917-3614.812.42.3315.219.4-4.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.03,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 100, OKC 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.02,094.8%
HOU 119, DEN 1140.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.01,094.2%
NYK 107, CHI 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,093.9%