NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	114		Excitement	8.4 [232]		MVP	Tre Jones (CHI): +42.7%
Miami Heat	109		Comeback	8.9 [95]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (CHI): -21.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0.43	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.32,0.43,0.43	0.10	0.33	-0.00	11	68%	0.43	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.27,0.27	0.04	0.23	0.00	16	51%	0.37	2	-0.10	9	100%	0.08
Josh Giddey	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.23	0.10	0.13	0.01	15	72%	0.34	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Zach Collins	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	0.01	11	75%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dalen Terry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.02	-0.09	0.04	9	59%	-0.00	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	13	37%	-0.16	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	19	51%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.06,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	17	61%	0.29	1	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	17	55%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.05	0.05	0.14	-0.08	0.00	9	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	5	33%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	15	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	5	17%	-0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.2	25.6	15.3	30.1	1.6	32.5	131.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.0%

CHI +25.8%

CHI +4.5%

MIA -5.3%

MIA -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIA	NBA	CHI	MIA	NBA
this game	12.4	14.9	14.4	107.5	103.8	113.1
season	13.2	14.9		112.4	111.9
opponent	14.6	14.5		111.2	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.3	12.4	12.4	11.4	12.4
MIA	13.4	15.3	14.8	16.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Giddey	82	82	1.05	-0.55	1.59	0.28	26	-21	47	12.1	13.4	-1.32	15.1	14.3	0.73
Kevin Huerter	67	68	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.51	14	-9	23	11.8	13.5	-1.69	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Tre Jones	72	72	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-9	23	12.4	12.4	-0.07	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Zach Collins	70	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-8	21	12.6	12.0	0.56	14.5	15.7	-1.19
Talen Horton-Tucker	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	4	-3	11.2	12.6	-1.33	17.4	14.6	2.83
Matas Buzelis	70	70	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.31	9	-4	13	12.7	11.9	0.81	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Coby White	73	72	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.27	-11	16	-27	13.1	10.9	2.20	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Julian Phillips	28	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.20	-10	15	-25	12.1	12.5	-0.34	15.6	14.7	0.91
Jalen Smith	36	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	13	-21	12.0	12.6	-0.56	15.7	14.5	1.19
Dalen Terry	19	17	-0.59	1.09	-1.67	0.09	-23	28	-51	13.5	12.2	1.31	13.6	15.2	-1.58

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kel'el Ware	58	59	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.12	5	-10	15	14.2	15.8	-1.54	13.0	11.6	1.44
Duncan Robinson	47	47	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-3	1	15.6	14.3	1.27	12.1	12.6	-0.56
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	23	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-3	1	15.3	14.8	0.56	11.9	12.5	-0.62
Haywood Highsmith	47	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	16.0	14.0	2.00	11.4	13.2	-1.74
Davion Mitchell	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	3	-11	14.2	16.1	-1.85	12.9	11.5	1.40
Terry Rozier	59	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-4	3	15.4	14.3	1.12	11.6	13.4	-1.72
Tyler Herro	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	1	-7	14.7	15.7	-1.00	12.5	12.1	0.42
Andrew Wiggins	62	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.46	-4	-1	-3	14.7	15.2	-0.42	12.6	12.1	0.46
Bam Adebayo	83	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.3	-0.51	12.7	11.3	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.72,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 92, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.32,0.42,0	92.7%
PHX 91, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.16,0	90.6%
PHX 87, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	90.4%