NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	92		Excitement	7.7 [311]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): +50.9%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	8.0 [171]		LVP	David West (NOK): -17.0%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.20	0.32	0.02	7	121%	0.51	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Hilton Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	2	67%	0.06	3	-0.16	5	80%	-0.02
David West	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.11,-0.25,-0.32,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17	-0.18	-0.01	-0.02	19	43%	0.14	8	-0.31	4	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	7	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	13	64%	0.15	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	19	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	14	60%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	13	29%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.5	29.5	16.6	24.2	2.6	31.9	132.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +56.5%

NYK -9.9%

NOK +35.9%

NYK -37.3%

NOK +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	NYK	NBA	NOK	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	17.2	15.4	108.2	107.1	104.5
season	16.0	15.7		102.8	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		106.7	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.9	16.9	20.2	15.1	16.8
NYK	14.7	18.1	18.8	17.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	68	66	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.44	9	-7	16	17.5	14.4	3.12	16.7	19.1	-2.38
Devin Brown	46	46	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-5	12	16.8	16.9	-0.05	16.1	18.6	-2.45
Tyson Chandler	73	72	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	-2	6	17.0	16.2	0.79	17.1	18.3	-1.28
Rasual Butler	34	33	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-7	16	16.2	17.3	-1.12	18.2	16.6	1.50
Chris Paul	71	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.51	0	2	-2	17.0	16.1	0.93	16.8	19.6	-2.89
Bobby Jackson	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	5	-8	15.9	17.7	-1.80	18.2	16.5	1.68
Marc Jackson	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	2	-2	16.2	16.9	-0.66	20.2	16.9	3.33
Jannero Pargo	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	2	-2	16.6	16.9	-0.35	19.9	16.7	3.20
Linton Johnson	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	7	-12	10.9	17.4	-6.53	16.3	17.3	-1.04
Hilton Armstrong	14	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	6	-10	16.6	16.9	-0.33	19.2	16.8	2.39
Desmond Mason	49	50	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	9	-16	18.0	15.3	2.67	16.8	17.8	-0.98

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	9	9	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-5	8	17.2	17.2	-0.02	11.4	17.5	-6.04
Jared Jeffries	55	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-5	8	18.0	15.9	2.10	18.1	14.3	3.80
Eddy Curry	73	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.40	8	-10	18	16.8	20.1	-3.28	17.3	14.2	3.09
Malik Rose	21	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	5	-12	18.1	16.9	1.21	15.0	17.5	-2.49
Renaldo Balkman	28	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	5	-12	16.6	17.5	-0.89	15.2	17.7	-2.54
Steve Francis	71	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-4	6	16.6	20.7	-4.09	16.9	16.5	0.36
Nate Robinson	26	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	8	-18	19.4	16.3	3.11	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Channing Frye	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-1	0	17.4	16.2	1.22	17.1	15.5	1.60
Stephon Marbury	64	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.53	-1	-1	0	16.7	18.9	-2.18	17.3	15.5	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, BKN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.6,0.71,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.42,0	91.0%
DET 94, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.75,0.63,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0	90.9%
PHX 91, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.16,0	90.5%