NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	118		Excitement	9.4 [134]		MVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): +29.9%
Toronto Raptors	117		Comeback	2.6 [271]		LVP	A.J. Lawson (TOR): -19.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3	0.25	0.07	0.02	20	79%	0.36	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.09	0.00	0.09	0.00	9	55%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	11	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bub Carrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.07	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Kyshawn George	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alex Sarr	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	16	29%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.00	13	72%	0.28	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Colin Castleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	17	59%	0.13	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Jared Rhoden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	8	59%	0.07	3	-0.12	6	83%	-0.05
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	16	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.18,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	11	29%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.4	32.0	14.6	25.7	2.3	34.2	140.2
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +28.7%

TOR -16.5%

WAS +4.9%

WAS +14.3%

WAS +18.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	13.5	14.3	14.4	113.5	113.6	113.0
season	14.0	13.9		105.3	109.0
opponent	14.6	14.1		113.0	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.9	13.8	14.8	13.9	13.5
TOR	12.9	13.8	15.2	15.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bilal Coulibaly	78	79	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-7	15	13.0	15.2	-2.21	14.1	15.0	-0.87
Alex Sarr	63	62	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-6	13	13.5	13.6	-0.04	13.8	15.1	-1.30
Khris Middleton	54	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	-6	13	13.4	13.6	-0.20	13.5	15.2	-1.70
Jordan Poole	69	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	-5	11	13.3	13.9	-0.57	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Kyshawn George	67	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.46	-4	5	-9	13.8	13.0	0.84	14.5	13.8	0.70
Marcus Smart	37	36	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	-1	3	13.7	13.5	0.21	14.4	14.3	0.11
Corey Kispert	58	55	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	3	-5	13.7	13.3	0.42	15.0	13.5	1.56
Richaun Holmes	41	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	7	-13	13.6	13.5	0.04	15.1	13.8	1.30
Justin Champagnie	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	7	-13	14.8	13.4	1.36	13.4	14.4	-0.93
Bub Carrington	44	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	8	-15	13.9	13.3	0.56	14.9	13.9	1.08

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamison Battle	44	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-6	11	15.1	13.7	1.36	13.3	13.7	-0.34
Jakob Poeltl	54	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-2	3	14.1	14.5	-0.34	12.7	14.6	-1.85
Colin Castleton	53	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-8	15	14.7	13.9	0.80	13.4	13.7	-0.26
Scottie Barnes	60	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	0	-1	14.0	14.7	-0.70	14.1	12.8	1.29
Jamal Shead	63	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-3	5	13.4	15.7	-2.30	14.2	12.5	1.65
Jared Rhoden	59	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-7	13	14.9	13.5	1.46	13.6	13.4	0.18
Orlando Robinson	49	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	1	-3	14.5	14.1	0.34	14.7	12.5	2.17
RJ Barrett	63	63	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.19	-15	14	-29	14.1	14.6	-0.55	12.6	15.0	-2.37
A.J. Lawson	70	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.49	-8	7	-15	14.2	14.4	-0.20	13.4	13.9	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.1,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 110, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.05,0	93.1%
IND 92, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.24,0.16,0	92.0%
MIL 94, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.04,0	91.7%