inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 107 Excitement8.4 [251] MVPBam Adebayo (MIA): +35.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers 112 Comeback5.4 [563] LVPTerry Rozier (MIA): -37.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.350,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.350.230.160.031876%0.452-0.109100%0.07
Haywood Highsmith0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.160.080.09-0.00965%0.1600.002100%0.02
Davion Mitchell0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.01575%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Pelle Larsson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Love-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.01-0.00850%0.021-0.02475%-0.01
Duncan Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.030.04-0.08-0.011070%0.103-0.1300%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.01839%-0.021-0.05250%-0.01
Alec Burks-0.060,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01829%-0.0600.0010%-0.01
Terry Rozier-0.370,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.37,-0.37-0.12-0.240.011436%-0.244-0.135100%0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.170.170.060.11-0.001257%0.1700.004100%0.03
Max Strus0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.080.00869%0.1600.0000%0.00
Donovan Mitchell0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.090.090.060.040.011763%0.355-0.26786%0.02
Evan Mobley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.080.011059%0.163-0.08729%-0.06
Sam Merrill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.01-0.03350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Isaac Okoro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.020.01570%0.0200.0000%0.00
Darius Garland0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.020.020.03-0.01-0.001258%0.072-0.062100%0.01
Ty Jerome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.011246%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Dean Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00250%0.011-0.0500%0.00
Jarrett Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.02633%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.23.429.614.628.53.331.6139.2
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +59.5%
MIA -12.3%
MIA -0.3%
CLE +1.9%
CLE +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game15.513.314.4107.0112.0113.1
season15.013.7111.5120.5
opponent14.914.6110.8112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.912.616.219.415.5
CLE13.912.612.614.213.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alec Burks56570.04-0.540.59-0.229-142314.017.4-3.3312.913.8-0.82
Kevin Love3634-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-2-115.715.40.2612.913.5-0.63
Davion Mitchell5856-0.11-0.390.27-0.265-101514.017.6-3.5713.513.00.54
Pelle Larsson2626-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-116-1715.215.6-0.4713.013.4-0.46
Kyle Anderson5454-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.435-101514.616.5-1.8513.912.61.24
Bam Adebayo7678-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.38-1-4316.113.52.5813.014.4-1.42
Duncan Robinson5859-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.05-138-2116.713.82.8713.513.00.43
Terry Rozier8384-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.38-3-2-115.714.61.1013.114.5-1.43
Haywood Highsmith5352-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.09-138-2117.113.73.4313.912.61.30

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
De'Andre Hunter49491.07-0.571.640.5418-133112.913.7-0.7515.615.40.26
Evan Mobley77750.88-0.381.270.5312-71912.615.5-2.8315.415.7-0.24
Max Strus57570.72-0.220.930.5750512.514.3-1.7614.816.4-1.53
Darius Garland66680.440.060.370.3823-113.013.8-0.7915.515.40.09
Donovan Mitchell76740.290.210.090.38-38-1113.412.90.5615.415.9-0.57
Sam Merrill3232-0.010.51-0.52-0.1032114.412.81.5815.415.5-0.14
Isaac Okoro2021-0.090.59-0.68-0.1214-314.513.01.5015.115.6-0.51
Ty Jerome4746-0.140.64-0.78-0.1714-314.012.71.2816.514.71.81
Dean Wade2121-0.260.76-1.02-0.20-27-914.912.91.9717.914.92.98
Jarrett Allen5557-0.400.90-1.31-0.05-1217-2913.213.4-0.1414.816.4-1.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.27,0.2,0.54,0.68,0.82,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 91, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.76,0.95,189.6%
CHI 125, CHA 1260.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.27,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.37,0.47,0.91,189.4%
GSW 88, HOU 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.52,0.78,0.77,0.72,189.3%