NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	114		Excitement	7.3 [425]		MVP	OG Anunoby (NYK): +19.6%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	3.5 [334]		LVP	Josh Hart (NYK): -19.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.09	0.03	21	62%	0.23	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Gui Santos	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.02	6	75%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler III	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	12	58%	0.18	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.01	13	58%	0.23	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Kevon Looney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Moses Moody	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.07	16	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Quinten Post	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	4	37%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.10	0.01	19	67%	0.29	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	18	58%	0.08	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	8	12%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	33.3	15.7	27.6	3.4	33.3	142.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +38.0%

GSW +9.2%

GSW +0.9%

NYK -1.1%

GSW +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	15.3	14.4	116.3	105.2	113.0
season	14.5	15.3		112.9	116.0
opponent	14.2	14.5		112.9	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.1	17.6	12.3	13.3	14.3
NYK	17.2	13.0	15.4	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	71	70	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.06	23	-11	34	14.0	15.1	-1.15	14.6	16.9	-2.25
Moses Moody	56	54	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.12	21	-9	30	14.2	14.3	-0.10	15.6	14.9	0.65
Draymond Green	72	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-2	16	14.4	13.9	0.53	14.9	16.3	-1.42
Gui Santos	28	29	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-2	16	15.1	13.9	1.16	17.0	14.5	2.52
Quinten Post	27	28	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	7	-2	16.1	13.6	2.53	16.1	14.9	1.23
Jimmy Butler III	73	71	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	11	-10	14.0	15.1	-1.13	14.7	16.8	-2.10
Buddy Hield	45	47	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	16	-20	14.1	14.5	-0.39	15.6	14.9	0.68
Kevon Looney	27	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	18	-24	14.3	14.3	0.03	15.9	15.0	0.84
Brandin Podziemski	67	65	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	15	-18	13.9	15.1	-1.15	14.8	16.2	-1.47
Kevin Knox II	24	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	17	-22	14.1	14.3	-0.20	16.0	15.0	1.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	48	48	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-20	28	14.6	16.0	-1.40	14.7	13.9	0.77
Landry Shamet	21	22	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.17	9	-21	30	15.8	15.1	0.63	16.9	13.5	3.34
Cameron Payne	20	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-15	18	15.6	15.2	0.48	17.0	13.6	3.49
Precious Achiuwa	60	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-10	8	15.8	14.5	1.31	15.0	13.2	1.74
Mitchell Robinson	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-2	-8	16.2	14.9	1.35	13.4	14.7	-1.25
OG Anunoby	83	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-2	-8	15.2	15.6	-0.35	14.5	12.8	1.74
Jalen Brunson	77	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	3	-18	15.2	15.6	-0.48	13.6	17.0	-3.49
Mikal Bridges	76	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.02	-21	9	-30	15.1	15.8	-0.63	13.5	16.9	-3.34
Josh Hart	70	71	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.07	-22	10	-32	15.0	16.0	-1.01	13.5	16.2	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.23,0.41,0.24,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.22,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0	92.4%
BOS 104, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.21,0.29,0.16,0.04,0,0.01,0,0	92.0%
DAL 104, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.1,0,0,0,0	92.0%