NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	5.7 [702]		MVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): +52.2%
Sacramento Kings	93		Comeback	3.1 [681]		LVP	Greg Monroe (BOS): -18.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.52	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.34	0.21	0.02	16	100%	0.57	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.08	-0.04	10	73%	0.25	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Aron Baynes	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Semi Ojeleye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Kadeem Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Bird	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Abdel Nader	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	10	60%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	10	20%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.00	8	75%	0.23	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	14	41%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.09	-0.00	16	62%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	20%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	24.4	14.4	25.2	2.4	28.3	119.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +57.3%

SAC -5.4%

BOS +3.1%

SAC -6.2%

BOS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	15.1	14.7	114.3	101.1	107.5
season	15.1	15.4		106.4	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	16.1	15.1	20.6	16.4
SAC	14.6	15.9	15.5	14.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	45	44	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.11	23	-12	35	14.8	17.9	-3.05	17.6	12.8	4.82
Jaylen Brown	49	48	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.07	24	-13	37	15.5	17.4	-1.85	16.0	14.2	1.80
Terry Rozier	67	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-7	25	16.5	16.1	0.41	15.8	13.3	2.50
Al Horford	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	1	9	15.7	17.9	-2.22	15.7	13.9	1.80
Jabari Bird	16	15	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	3	5	19.4	15.7	3.63	13.1	15.5	-2.35
Jayson Tatum	55	57	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	8	-5	15.0	18.6	-3.59	14.5	16.0	-1.46
Semi Ojeleye	50	52	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	14	-17	17.5	15.0	2.43	14.3	16.1	-1.73
Kadeem Allen	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	7.0	16.5	-9.49	0.0	15.1	-15.10
Guerschon Yabusele	16	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	12	-13	15.9	16.5	-0.54	14.1	15.4	-1.30
Shane Larkin	32	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	14	-17	17.2	15.9	1.33	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Abdel Nader	22	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.11	-11	22	-33	18.8	15.6	3.15	15.2	15.1	0.18
Greg Monroe	40	41	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	22	-33	17.9	15.2	2.66	12.9	16.9	-4.05

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-14	17	14.6	15.5	-0.93	17.5	15.5	2.03
Frank Mason	40	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-9	7	15.3	14.9	0.36	18.3	15.0	3.27
Justin Jackson	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-7	3	15.6	14.7	0.90	14.6	18.2	-3.68
Kosta Koufos	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-10	9	14.2	16.1	-1.92	17.2	15.5	1.69
Skal Labissiere	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	15.2	14.9	0.39	15.8	17.4	-1.59
Buddy Hield	47	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	14.7	15.6	-0.90	18.2	14.6	3.68
De'Aaron Fox	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-2	-7	14.9	15.3	-0.36	15.0	18.3	-3.27
Willie Cauley-Stein	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	0	-11	16.0	13.2	2.71	15.5	18.4	-2.85
Bogdan Bogdanovic	65	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	5	-21	15.1	15.0	0.14	16.5	16.2	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.21,0.29,0.16,0.04,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, ORL 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	92.6%
MIL 101, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.22,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0	91.9%
IND 87, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0	91.7%