NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	7.0 [440]		MVP	Reggie Bullock (DAL): +20.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	4.1 [235]		LVP	Steven Adams (MEM): -22.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.06	0.01	7	100%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	13	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Moses Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	56%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Luka Doncic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	19	65%	0.30	9	-0.26	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	43%	0.02	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.00
Josh Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Killian Tillie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	19	57%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	18	41%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.07
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	15	42%	-0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	4	43%	-0.03	6	-0.19	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.4	28.2	14.0	30.7	2.4	34.2	140.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +74.3%

DAL +9.2%

MEM -13.4%

MEM -21.9%

DAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	14.5	107.2	100.0	110.8
season	15.6	14.1		112.4	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.5		107.8	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	16.3	15.9	14.7	15.5
MEM	14.6	15.0	15.4	12.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	70	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.39	8	0	8	15.9	14.6	1.27	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Luka Doncic	71	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-9	26	15.3	16.2	-0.83	14.5	13.6	0.99
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-2	12	15.2	16.3	-1.05	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Reggie Bullock	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	3	2	15.0	16.6	-1.69	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Dwight Powell	42	42	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	3	2	15.4	15.7	-0.29	14.6	14.0	0.58
Tim Hardaway Jr.	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	5	-2	16.0	15.2	0.79	15.4	13.4	1.98
Moses Brown	23	24	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	6	-4	14.8	15.8	-0.94	15.8	13.8	2.00
Kristaps Porzingis	49	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	10	-12	16.6	14.5	2.03	12.9	15.7	-2.78
Maxi Kleber	36	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	10	-12	16.1	15.2	0.81	15.1	13.9	1.23
Josh Green	21	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	14	-20	15.0	15.7	-0.76	14.2	14.3	-0.14

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Santi Aldama	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-8	8	15.8	14.0	1.79	15.2	15.6	-0.38
Steven Adams	60	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-10	12	15.2	12.7	2.47	15.6	15.5	0.10
De'Anthony Melton	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-11	14	14.4	14.2	0.27	15.0	16.1	-1.05
John Konchar	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-4	0	15.6	13.8	1.78	14.7	15.8	-1.06
Xavier Tillman	19	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-4	0	14.9	14.1	0.75	15.7	15.5	0.19
Jaren Jackson Jr.	68	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-5	2	13.3	16.7	-3.42	15.7	15.1	0.60
Killian Tillie	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.21	-3	-5	2	14.9	13.9	1.09	15.9	15.3	0.62
Dillon Brooks	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	14.1	14.8	-0.74	15.6	15.5	0.07
Tyus Jones	71	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	3	-14	13.6	16.2	-2.58	15.2	16.5	-1.30
Desmond Bane	67	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.17	-13	5	-18	13.9	15.1	-1.21	16.2	14.1	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.1,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 102, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
SAS 97, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0	92.9%
SAS 96, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.37,0.23,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0	92.6%