NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	102		Excitement	7.3 [399]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): +23.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	3.3 [179]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -15.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.14	-0.01	10	65%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	10	67%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	21	47%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Nicolo Melli	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Derrick Favors	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	18	46%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Lonzo Ball	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	22	45%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	17	61%	0.13	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	21	37%	-0.06	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.7	24.3	14.8	24.5	3.2	27.4	123.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +45.3%

POR -12.3%

NOP +10.1%

NOP +0.6%

NOP +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.2	101.0	93.1	109.6
season	13.4	14.4		109.9	111.9
opponent	13.9	14.2		113.5	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.1	13.0	13.3	16.8	13.4
POR	14.6	14.7	16.1	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	36	37	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-4	16	14.9	12.5	2.38	15.9	14.7	1.11
Brandon Ingram	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	13.3	13.6	-0.33	15.4	14.3	1.16
Jrue Holiday	77	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-7	22	13.7	12.3	1.34	15.7	13.4	2.23
Jaxson Hayes	36	34	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-3	14	12.6	13.8	-1.20	16.9	14.3	2.60
JJ Redick	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-4	16	11.9	15.2	-3.24	15.3	15.0	0.37
E'Twaun Moore	50	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	10	-12	14.7	12.0	2.70	14.5	15.8	-1.22
Lonzo Ball	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	1	6	12.9	13.7	-0.79	15.5	14.9	0.59
Josh Hart	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	9	-10	12.8	13.7	-0.87	14.2	15.7	-1.49
Derrick Favors	64	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	12	-16	13.6	12.9	0.78	14.6	16.1	-1.48
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	6	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	14	-20	14.2	13.3	0.86	11.2	15.4	-4.24
Nicolo Melli	14	14	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	16	-24	14.3	13.2	1.08	13.4	15.4	-2.09
Frank Jackson	11	12	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	17	-26	10.6	13.7	-3.05	13.6	15.4	-1.79

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Skal Labissiere	39	40	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.12	10	-18	28	14.6	15.5	-0.88	13.0	13.6	-0.55
Gary Trent Jr.	34	35	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-16	24	15.1	15.2	-0.11	13.1	13.5	-0.46
Anfernee Simons	48	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-11	14	14.6	15.6	-1.02	12.8	13.8	-1.04
Nassir Little	16	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-5	2	15.7	15.1	0.63	13.7	13.3	0.44
Carmelo Anthony	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-6	4	14.9	16.1	-1.24	13.2	14.0	-0.75
CJ McCollum	80	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	15.1	15.3	-0.16	14.0	11.3	2.71
Damian Lillard	76	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	6	-20	15.2	15.0	0.21	13.2	13.9	-0.68
Kent Bazemore	67	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.17	-16	8	-24	15.2	15.1	0.11	13.5	13.1	0.46
Hassan Whiteside	65	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.14	-20	12	-32	16.0	13.6	2.49	13.5	13.1	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, WAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	93.9%
SAS 96, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.37,0.23,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0	93.3%
UTA 103, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.38,0.39,0.23,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.05,0	93.2%