NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	127		Excitement	9.3 [123]		MVP	Caris LeVert (ATL): +36.4%
Atlanta Hawks	121		Comeback	2.5 [511]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -8.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.10	0.16	-0.00	7	94%	0.38	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.14	0.01	10	74%	0.28	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14	-0.02	0.14	-0.02	14	43%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	10	71%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	18	59%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.01	18	54%	0.04	3	-0.09	12	67%	-0.03
Jericho Sims	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.16	0.21	0.00	13	72%	0.36	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.09	0.00	7	94%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.01	14	53%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.04
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.07	0.00	7	86%	0.12	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	24	49%	0.03	4	-0.12	9	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	25.4	14.7	26.0	1.8	38.2	132.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +26.0%

MIL +16.5%

MIL +15.6%

ATL -8.0%

ATL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	12.5	14.4	114.4	112.0	113.0
season	14.4	13.3		113.1	112.1
opponent	14.4	14.2		113.9	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	12.5	13.1	15.3	13.8
ATL	12.9	13.2	11.2	12.8	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	84	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-4	14	13.6	14.2	-0.62	12.2	13.4	-1.18
Kyle Kuzma	78	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	3	0	13.7	13.8	-0.09	12.4	12.7	-0.32
Brook Lopez	76	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-1	8	14.0	13.3	0.69	12.2	13.3	-1.07
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-3	12	13.7	13.8	-0.05	12.1	13.6	-1.44
Taurean Prince	69	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	2	2	14.1	13.3	0.80	11.8	13.8	-1.98
Gary Trent Jr.	57	54	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	5	-4	13.4	14.1	-0.65	13.2	11.9	1.35
Jericho Sims	35	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	13.3	14.0	-0.69	13.3	12.2	1.07
AJ Green	52	49	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	5	-4	13.8	13.7	0.02	13.6	11.6	1.95
Kevin Porter Jr.	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	10	-14	14.2	13.6	0.62	13.4	12.2	1.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	46	48	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.00	7	-13	20	13.2	12.0	1.24	13.9	13.7	0.17
Clint Capela	43	46	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-9	12	13.0	12.2	0.86	14.3	13.4	0.90
Georges Niang	49	53	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-9	12	12.8	12.3	0.45	13.5	14.0	-0.44
Zaccharie Risacher	56	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	0	-6	12.7	12.3	0.42	13.7	13.9	-0.19
Caris LeVert	63	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-11	16	12.4	12.8	-0.39	14.3	13.0	1.29
Trae Young	82	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	4	-14	12.4	12.9	-0.47	13.6	14.3	-0.67
Onyeka Okongwu	65	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	3	-12	12.2	13.0	-0.86	13.4	14.3	-0.90
Mouhamed Gueye	60	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	3	-12	12.1	13.0	-0.92	14.0	13.5	0.44
Dyson Daniels	76	77	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.33	-14	8	-22	12.4	12.9	-0.54	13.5	14.4	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.24,0.04,0.03,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.27,0	91.3%
POR 78, GSW 75	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.36,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.28,0	91.2%
DAL 107, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.02,0.03,0.04,0	91.1%