NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	6.6 [511]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +19.5%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	1.6 [761]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -10.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Whitmore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	19	62%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Amen Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.07
Reed Sheppard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tari Eason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.03	14	57%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	16	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	13	40%	-0.01	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.03	-0.00	16	76%	0.22	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.01	13	59%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	11	73%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	6	93%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	5	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	19	45%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	6	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	26.5	15.4	24.5	2.3	32.6	129.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +63.5%

IND +16.2%

HOU -37.2%

IND +3.9%

IND +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	14.5	14.4	105.2	119.8	113.1
season	14.7	13.8		114.2	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.2		112.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	14.8	16.8	13.8	15.4
IND	14.5	12.9	13.9	16.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	7.7	15.6	-7.93	20.0	14.3	5.69
Aaron Holiday	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	7.7	15.6	-7.93	20.0	14.3	5.69
Nate Williams	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	7.7	15.6	-7.93	20.0	14.3	5.69
Steven Adams	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-13	13	15.4	15.3	0.01	15.0	14.2	0.75
Cam Whitmore	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-7	1	13.4	15.7	-2.25	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Tari Eason	52	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-11	9	15.2	15.5	-0.26	14.1	14.9	-0.82
Reed Sheppard	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-7	1	14.4	15.8	-1.46	13.6	14.9	-1.25
Amen Thompson	78	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-13	13	15.5	14.6	0.89	15.1	12.2	2.84
Alperen Sengun	73	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-11	9	15.2	15.8	-0.64	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Dillon Brooks	59	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-2	-9	15.7	14.7	1.01	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Jabari Smith Jr.	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.01	-19	6	-25	15.9	13.5	2.40	14.7	13.9	0.76
Jalen Green	65	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.07	-22	9	-31	16.3	13.3	2.99	14.0	15.5	-1.56

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	34	36	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-5	23	13.3	15.2	-1.90	15.9	15.0	0.81
Tyrese Haliburton	73	74	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.03	20	-7	27	14.0	16.0	-1.99	16.0	13.2	2.85
Andrew Nembhard	69	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-7	27	14.1	15.4	-1.23	16.1	13.4	2.69
Aaron Nesmith	67	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-5	23	14.4	14.7	-0.24	15.9	14.1	1.78
Myles Turner	50	53	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-1	15	14.4	14.6	-0.27	15.8	14.9	0.89
Johnny Furphy	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	20.0	14.3	5.69	7.7	15.6	-7.93
Tony Bradley	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	18.0	14.4	3.59	8.0	15.5	-7.51
Thomas Bryant	44	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	16	-19	14.5	14.5	-0.02	15.5	15.2	0.24
Ben Sheppard	30	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	18	-23	14.9	14.3	0.65	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Jarace Walker	20	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	15	-17	15.3	14.3	1.09	14.1	15.7	-1.58
T.J. McConnell	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	20	-27	15.4	14.1	1.23	13.4	16.1	-2.69
Pascal Siakam	61	62	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.03	-9	22	-31	15.0	13.5	1.53	14.8	16.3	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.78,0.81,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.86,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, LAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%
CLE 91, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.3%
SAC 94, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	92.3%