NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	128		Excitement	7.8 [334]		MVP	CJ McCollum (NOP): +30.2%
Utah Jazz	121		Comeback	3.7 [558]		LVP	KJ Martin (UTA): -5.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.30	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3	0.11	0.19	0.00	18	69%	0.39	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.20	0.07	0.02	14	79%	0.27	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Zion Williamson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.01	18	62%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Yves Missi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karlo Matkovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Trey Murphy III	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	20	49%	0.07	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Tshiebwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.06	-0.00	9	89%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.01	21	58%	0.27	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	4	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.01	18	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	0.02	12	48%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	23.4	14.5	26.3	2.5	38.1	129.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +44.1%

UTA -17.9%

NOP +17.8%

NOP +2.1%

NOP +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	UTA	NBA	NOP	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	13.8	14.4	125.5	118.6	113.1
season	14.4	14.8		109.3	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.3		119.0	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.4	14.9	14.6	14.8	14.4
UTA	12.8	13.9	14.8	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	57	58	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.33	19	-12	31	12.9	16.3	-3.32	14.2	13.4	0.81
CJ McCollum	70	70	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.41	16	-9	25	13.7	16.0	-2.31	14.4	12.6	1.75
Trey Murphy III	77	78	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-5	17	13.9	16.1	-2.26	14.1	12.9	1.24
Yves Missi	60	61	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-3	13	13.7	15.5	-1.81	14.1	13.4	0.72
Karlo Matkovic	40	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	13	-19	16.1	13.3	2.82	13.9	13.8	0.12
Zion Williamson	65	64	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	5	-3	14.3	14.6	-0.24	13.1	15.0	-1.87
Jose Alvarado	49	49	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	13	-19	15.4	13.5	1.84	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Jordan Hawkins	45	45	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.14	-3	10	-13	15.6	13.5	2.09	13.6	14.0	-0.44
Bruce Brown	47	46	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.12	-9	16	-25	15.7	13.3	2.35	12.9	14.6	-1.62

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oscar Tshiebwe	40	41	0.71	-1.21	1.93	-0.02	25	-32	57	12.7	14.5	-1.85	16.9	12.7	4.21
Cody Williams	36	35	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.06	9	-16	25	13.4	14.0	-0.63	15.7	13.7	2.03
Jaden Springer	35	36	0.31	-0.81	1.13	-0.01	11	-18	29	13.0	14.3	-1.25	16.6	13.2	3.40
Johnny Juzang	43	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-4	1	13.8	13.8	-0.06	12.1	16.1	-4.01
Micah Potter	42	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-11	15	13.7	13.9	-0.15	16.3	13.0	3.35
KJ Martin	59	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	2	-11	14.1	13.4	0.70	13.3	15.7	-2.38
Keyonte George	64	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-5	3	13.6	14.2	-0.53	15.1	13.3	1.75
Brice Sensabaugh	66	67	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.36	-16	9	-25	14.0	13.4	0.63	13.7	15.7	-2.03
Isaiah Collier	63	63	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.29	-22	15	-37	14.3	13.1	1.21	13.7	15.6	-1.87
Kyle Filipowski	62	61	-1.21	0.71	-1.93	-0.27	-32	25	-57	14.5	12.7	1.85	12.7	16.9	-4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.2,0.26,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.79,0.57,0.6,0.74,0.53,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.29,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.4,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.08,0	90.0%
SAC 117, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.16,0	89.7%
MIL 112, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.57,0.42,0.59,0.35,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.03,0.01,0	89.4%