inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 146 Excitement6.5 [550] MVPJalen Williams (OKC): +35.6%
San Antonio Spurs 132 Comeback2.7 [928] LVPKeldon Johnson (SAS): -3.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Williams0.360,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.340.110.102475%0.3600.007100%0.03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.260,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.200.05-0.011966%0.2600.00989%0.03
Aaron Wiggins0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.060.011265%0.162-0.0420%-0.05
Cason Wallace0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.010.041466%0.111-0.031100%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.01570%0.0700.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00950%0.0200.0000%0.00
Alex Ducas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dillon Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.01862%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Jaylin Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.05-0.010.06767%0.001-0.021100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephon Castle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.120.05-0.032165%0.264-0.06757%-0.03
Jeremy Sochan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.040.01985%0.213-0.082100%0.01
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.004100%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Devin Vassell0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.03-0.021647%0.0700.0000%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.000.002150%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.10-0.010.04970%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Duke Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04283%0.0000.002100%0.00
Malaki Branham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Blake Wesley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.001100%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.000.041853%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.040.00570%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.831.515.434.22.730.3140.7
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +14.3%
OKC +7.4%
OKC +13.2%
OKC +15.2%
SAS -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game14.114.014.4143.1128.2113.0
season13.814.2117.4113.0
opponent14.514.7115.6105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.014.613.314.614.1
SAS15.313.113.813.614.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cason Wallace73730.54-0.040.58-0.0821-72814.413.50.8714.213.50.70
Aaron Wiggins53530.460.040.410.16104613.814.5-0.6413.514.4-0.89
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander67690.440.060.380.0015-11613.814.7-0.8814.113.60.47
Isaiah Hartenstein60620.280.220.05-0.2217-32014.513.70.8014.712.81.88
Luguentz Dort51510.280.220.050.0195414.114.2-0.1214.014.0-0.00
Jalen Williams75770.210.29-0.080.0177014.313.60.7913.814.5-0.72
Kenrich Williams23220.140.36-0.220.05311-813.114.4-1.3613.214.2-0.93
Alex Caruso42430.070.43-0.350.04113-1214.214.10.0914.313.70.51
Ousmane Dieng35340.060.44-0.380.09-115-1614.713.80.8813.614.1-0.47
Jaylin Williams26260.030.47-0.440.23-721-2813.814.3-0.4914.014.00.00
Alex Ducas550.000.50-0.500.15-519-2413.614.2-0.569.814.2-4.37
Dillon Jones550.000.50-0.500.15-519-2413.614.2-0.569.814.2-4.37

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julian Champagnie25260.07-0.570.64-0.085-192412.514.4-1.9614.014.2-0.24
Jeremy Sochan54530.05-0.550.600.050-141412.815.2-2.4114.114.1-0.01
David Duke Jr.560.00-0.500.50-0.155-19249.814.2-4.3712.814.2-1.39
Sandro Mamukelashvili560.00-0.500.50-0.155-19249.814.2-4.3712.814.2-1.39
Malaki Branham560.00-0.500.50-0.155-19249.814.2-4.3712.814.2-1.39
Blake Wesley560.00-0.500.50-0.155-19249.814.2-4.3712.814.2-1.39
Jordan McLaughlin560.00-0.500.50-0.155-19249.814.2-4.3712.814.2-1.39
Stephon Castle7067-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-141413.514.8-1.3114.513.41.17
Keldon Johnson3839-0.09-0.410.33-0.142-161815.113.31.7714.414.00.48
Chris Paul6361-0.40-0.10-0.290.22-217-2814.013.80.2213.814.6-0.79
Harrison Barnes5756-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-151-1615.811.74.0914.513.70.76
Devin Vassell7168-0.500.00-0.500.23-2511-3614.313.30.9914.014.3-0.28
Bismack Biyombo3838-0.530.03-0.560.03-195-2415.413.12.3614.214.10.12
De'Aaron Fox7472-0.570.07-0.640.08-228-3014.013.90.0914.313.80.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 122, ATL 1160.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,093.6%
NJN 95, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.01,093.6%
HOU 100, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,093.5%