NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	122		Excitement	6.5 [469]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +39.0%
Atlanta Hawks	116		Comeback	2.2 [505]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (ATL): -15.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35	0.13	0.16	-0.06	15	69%	0.36	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.07	-0.03	8	67%	0.15	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Maxi Kleber	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	20	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Luka Doncic	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	20	54%	0.13	4	-0.06	10	100%	0.04
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	47%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.26	0.16	0.03	21	83%	0.44	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.04	-0.02	11	61%	0.18	0	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	3	133%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.04	15	68%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	18	54%	0.02	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	25.3	14.8	32.5	2.4	33.2	138.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +6.4%

DAL +12.1%

DAL +6.3%

DAL +20.0%

DAL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.0	14.4	120.8	112.6	111.3
season	15.0	14.7		114.3	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		111.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	14.6	15.6	12.8	14.2
ATL	14.8	14.8	14.4	12.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	63	64	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	0	6	13.7	15.0	-1.27	13.0	15.8	-2.80
Maxi Kleber	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-3	12	14.4	13.8	0.58	14.5	13.1	1.34
Josh Richardson	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	6	-6	14.0	14.9	-0.91	13.2	16.5	-3.24
Kristaps Porzingis	72	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-3	12	14.0	14.8	-0.87	14.6	12.7	1.91
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	4	-2	13.8	14.9	-1.14	13.7	14.7	-1.05
Jalen Brunson	48	51	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-1	8	14.5	14.0	0.48	15.1	13.0	2.04
Luka Doncic	80	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	3	0	14.4	13.6	0.80	13.9	14.3	-0.41
James Johnson	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	4	-2	13.0	14.2	-1.23	10.0	14.1	-4.11
Trey Burke	10	11	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	15.8	14.0	1.77	15.9	13.8	2.10
Willie Cauley-Stein	21	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	10	-14	16.1	13.7	2.38	15.2	13.7	1.52

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	33	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-9	12	13.8	14.2	-0.40	14.9	13.9	0.94
Trae Young	76	76	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-10	14	14.0	14.1	-0.16	14.4	13.5	0.97
Solomon Hill	55	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.41	11	-17	28	13.4	14.8	-1.39	14.4	14.0	0.46
Brandon Goodwin	1	0	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-3	0	1.0	14.2	-13.16	0.0	14.2	-14.21
Cam Reddish	47	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	4	-14	15.6	12.7	2.88	14.0	14.4	-0.47
Danilo Gallinari	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-5	4	13.7	14.3	-0.60	14.0	14.4	-0.38
John Collins	86	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-4	2	13.8	15.4	-1.66	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Rajon Rondo	24	23	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	3	-12	14.5	13.9	0.56	13.9	14.3	-0.38
Clint Capela	64	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	9	-24	14.4	13.4	1.04	14.2	14.2	0.00
Kevin Huerter	84	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	2	-10	13.9	14.5	-0.61	14.0	15.3	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0	94.3%
TOR 112, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.22,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MIL 97, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%