NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	6.4 [576]		MVP	Eric Williams (NJN): +10.8%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	2.3 [296]		LVP	Tony Delk (ATL): -14.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	77%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Travis Best	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	19	48%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	16	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kaniel Dickens	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.02	-0.04	5	50%	0.01	4	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Jason Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	5	30%	-0.01	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	13	72%	0.09	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Collier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	60%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	11	46%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	21	54%	0.03	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	13	32%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.0	27.8	16.8	26.4	2.4	38.2	137.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +14.2%

NJN +18.7%

NJN +2.0%

NJN +7.7%

NJN +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.5	104.4	100.0	104.0
season	16.0	15.6		99.2	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.6		108.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	16.2	19.1	14.6	16.1
ATL	16.1	15.8	17.9	13.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	71	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	1	3	15.9	16.5	-0.61	16.0	15.1	0.86
Brian Scalabrine	47	47	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	-6	17	18.1	13.9	4.15	16.9	14.4	2.49
Jacque Vaughn	29	29	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	-2	9	17.7	15.3	2.37	16.2	15.5	0.63
Kaniel Dickens	12	12	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	-4	13	16.6	16.0	0.58	14.8	15.9	-1.05
Richard Jefferson	81	80	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	3	-1	15.7	18.8	-3.06	15.9	14.7	1.18
Eric Williams	73	72	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	1	3	15.5	18.4	-2.95	15.9	14.9	1.00
Jason Collins	64	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	2	1	15.3	17.9	-2.63	16.1	14.9	1.24
Nenad Krstic	37	39	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	10	-15	17.6	15.0	2.60	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Jason Kidd	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.27	-6	11	-17	14.1	17.5	-3.41	13.4	17.3	-3.93
Rodney Buford	4	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	16.0	16.1	-0.08	15.0	15.8	-0.79

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	24	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-6	7	14.9	16.1	-1.19	15.9	16.1	-0.28
Al Harrington	63	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-7	9	16.0	15.2	0.80	17.1	13.3	3.73
Jason Collier	18	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	3	-11	20.2	14.6	5.60	19.2	15.2	3.96
Predrag Drobnjak	47	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-4	3	14.7	16.9	-2.23	15.5	16.6	-1.07
Tony Delk	68	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-11	17	15.2	17.5	-2.38	15.7	17.2	-1.45
Kenny Anderson	38	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	0	-5	15.2	16.2	-0.97	15.3	16.6	-1.27
Boris Diaw	58	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	0	-5	16.4	14.6	1.79	16.1	16.0	0.17
Josh Smith	56	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	2	-9	15.5	16.1	-0.65	15.3	17.5	-2.16
Antoine Walker	78	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	3	-11	15.9	14.7	1.24	16.0	16.3	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0	94.0%
HOU 100, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	94.0%
BOS 115, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.02,0,0,0	93.9%