NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	5.3 [770]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (TOR): +27.7%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	1.3 [379]		LVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): -12.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.09	0.13	-0.06	19	55%	0.28	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jamal Shead	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	8	63%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Orlando Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.05	4	60%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Mogbo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
A.J. Lawson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.03	13	61%	0.11	5	-0.16	10	60%	-0.03
Scottie Barnes	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	12	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	80%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.04	0.04	17	62%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	9	70%	0.08	4	-0.06	15	80%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	1	125%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	70%	0.04	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	39%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	11	32%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	1.8	32.4	15.5	37.3	2.5	37.7	157.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.4%

ORL -0.1%

TOR +13.8%

ORL -4.8%

TOR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ORL	NBA	TOR	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	14.4	111.8	107.4	113.0
season	13.9	15.4		109.0	108.3
opponent	14.4	14.6		109.1	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.3	16.1	15.5	16.0	14.9
ORL	16.5	17.4	15.8	13.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	65	65	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	15.1	14.3	0.80	16.2	14.7	1.48
A.J. Lawson	28	28	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-14	30	14.1	15.2	-1.06	15.7	15.7	0.00
Jamal Shead	34	36	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-8	18	13.6	15.6	-1.99	14.7	16.4	-1.70
Jonathan Mogbo	39	42	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	-5	12	13.1	16.1	-3.02	14.7	16.6	-1.89
Ja'Kobe Walter	59	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	3	-4	15.9	13.1	2.78	15.2	16.7	-1.44
Orlando Robinson	41	43	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.45	-6	8	-14	14.8	14.9	-0.09	14.2	17.1	-2.89
Jakob Poeltl	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	-8	18	15.3	14.4	0.94	17.3	14.1	3.19
Scottie Barnes	56	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	7	-12	15.3	14.3	1.02	16.2	15.2	1.01
RJ Barrett	63	64	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.42	-15	17	-32	15.5	13.6	1.84	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Gradey Dick	31	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	10	-18	14.1	15.3	-1.13	17.5	14.9	2.67

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Anthony	44	44	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-7	12	16.8	14.9	1.91	15.5	14.3	1.17
Wendell Carter Jr.	61	60	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-2	2	16.4	14.6	1.76	15.2	14.4	0.80
Cory Joseph	20	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.44	14	-16	30	12.4	16.6	-4.24	16.2	14.5	1.69
Paolo Banchero	76	75	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.44	12	-14	26	15.7	16.1	-0.38	15.5	12.4	3.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	75	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.44	12	-14	26	15.7	16.1	-0.38	15.5	12.4	3.02
Tristan da Silva	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	5	-12	17.5	15.5	2.03	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Goga Bitadze	34	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	0	-2	14.6	16.4	-1.76	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Jonathan Isaac	19	18	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.00	-14	12	-26	16.1	15.7	0.38	12.4	15.5	-3.02
Jett Howard	29	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	6	-14	15.0	16.1	-1.13	13.0	15.7	-2.64
Franz Wagner	74	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	15.9	15.3	0.53	15.0	14.3	0.74
Anthony Black	31	28	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.06	-21	19	-40	16.5	15.4	1.05	12.9	15.7	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.15,0.13,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
ATL 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
CHH 103, MIL 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%