NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	103		Excitement	5.0 [800]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): +15.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	93		Comeback	1.4 [276]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -14.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.20	0.03	0.07	20	76%	0.18	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.02	15	64%	0.16	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	12	63%	0.03	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02
David Wesley	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	11	18%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	22	52%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.18	-0.00	0.15	20	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.6	28.0	15.0	23.6	1.5	23.7	116.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +19.0%

CHH +15.9%

CHH +8.8%

MIL -0.1%

CHH +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIL	NBA	CHH	MIL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.5	113.2	104.5	100.9
season	15.8	14.9		99.7	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.3	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.7	17.6	16.3	18.3	16.4
MIL	16.4	15.1	14.4	16.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	69	70	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-3	16	16.2	16.7	-0.44	15.8	15.1	0.75
Jamal Mashburn	83	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	1	8	16.0	19.9	-3.86	15.4	17.7	-2.32
Tim James	27	25	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	-1	12	17.8	15.7	2.08	16.8	15.2	1.61
Jamaal Magloire	28	26	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-1	12	17.4	15.9	1.56	17.2	15.0	2.19
Eddie Robinson	35	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	6	-2	18.3	15.1	3.19	16.4	15.1	1.30
David Wesley	66	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	9	-8	15.4	18.8	-3.38	15.2	16.7	-1.54
Elden Campbell	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	11	-12	15.9	17.4	-1.56	15.0	17.2	-2.19
P.J. Brown	64	64	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	11	-12	15.7	17.8	-2.08	15.2	16.8	-1.61
Eldridge Recasner	10	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	8	-6	16.7	16.3	0.39	16.1	15.6	0.53
Hersey Hawkins	10	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	9	-8	18.8	16.0	2.75	15.9	15.6	0.31

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	33	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	17.3	14.6	2.69	18.7	14.9	3.89
Mark Pope	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-2	-6	16.3	15.2	1.05	13.2	18.1	-4.93
Joel Przybilla	32	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-2	-6	15.4	15.8	-0.37	13.0	18.2	-5.21
Sam Cassell	69	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-7	4	15.4	16.6	-1.24	16.0	17.6	-1.59
Ervin Johnson	45	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-6	2	15.0	16.3	-1.39	18.5	14.2	4.30
Tim Thomas	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-5	0	15.6	15.7	-0.14	17.6	15.0	2.65
Glenn Robinson	77	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-6	2	15.2	18.7	-3.50	16.2	17.3	-1.10
Lindsey Hunter	33	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	17.2	14.7	2.55	16.6	16.2	0.45
Ray Allen	76	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	15.2	18.2	-3.03	16.4	16.3	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
UTA 94, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0	94.4%
NYK 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0	94.1%