NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	5.4 [712]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +9.0%
Golden State Warriors	82		Comeback	1.3 [1067]		LVP	Terry Cummings (GSW): -20.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	77%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.05	0.06	-0.06	21	53%	0.14	3	-0.07	13	85%	0.03
Adam Keefe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Olden Polynice	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
John Stockton	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	6	57%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Legler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	17	41%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	19	51%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	13	46%	-0.09	3	-0.06	11	27%	-0.13
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	10	30%	-0.08	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	33.3	15.5	30.3	2.4	31.2	138.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.6%

UTA +22.0%

GSW -18.5%

UTA +14.5%

UTA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	15.3	15.2	104.4	90.1	101.7
season	16.3	14.7		104.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.2		105.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.4	16.0	16.1	21.4	16.5
GSW	16.0	12.8	17.3	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	66	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-1	14	15.7	19.0	-3.29	15.3	15.2	0.15
Karl Malone	85	85	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	1	10	16.6	16.0	0.58	15.5	11.7	3.87
Howard Eisley	36	37	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	1	10	15.8	17.0	-1.23	15.8	15.0	0.79
Bryon Russell	71	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	6	0	16.0	18.5	-2.45	15.6	14.2	1.39
Olden Polynice	50	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	4	4	15.9	17.3	-1.40	15.3	15.3	-0.05
Adam Keefe	35	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	8	-4	17.9	15.7	2.19	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Scott Padgett	19	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	6	0	18.5	16.0	2.45	14.2	15.6	-1.39
John Stockton	54	54	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.08	1	11	-10	17.0	15.8	1.23	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Jacque Vaughn	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	13	-14	19.0	15.7	3.29	15.2	15.3	-0.15
Pete Chilcutt	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	14.7	16.8	-2.08	16.0	15.2	0.80

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Legler	5	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-11	10	15.4	15.3	0.12	13.7	16.7	-3.08
Adonal Foyle	38	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-9	6	14.8	15.6	-0.76	15.1	17.5	-2.48
Vonteego Cummings	13	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-4	-4	16.2	15.1	1.10	13.2	17.1	-3.96
Chris Mills	77	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-11	10	15.4	14.6	0.84	17.3	12.6	4.62
Tony Farmer	48	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-7	2	14.8	15.8	-1.05	16.3	16.8	-0.46
Terry Cummings	38	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	15.5	15.1	0.37	17.1	16.2	0.89
Chris Carr	15	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	1	-14	14.9	15.4	-0.42	12.5	17.3	-4.81
Antawn Jamison	83	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	15.1	17.5	-2.43	16.8	13.9	2.93
Jason Caffey	58	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-1	-10	15.8	14.3	1.54	17.3	15.3	2.06
Mookie Blaylock	80	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-6	0	15.3	15.3	0.01	17.1	12.7	4.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 107, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
NOH 100, MIN 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
IND 89, ATL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.01,0	94.6%