NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	116		Excitement	8.3 [252]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +35.4%
Miami Heat	112		Comeback	22.2 [98]		LVP	Davion Mitchell (MIA): -28.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.35	0.06	0.32	0.03	25	57%	0.41	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Hart	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	12	58%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0	0.10	-0.07	0.03	18	61%	0.10	1	-0.11	2	50%	-0.04
Miles McBride	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.05	0.05	11	66%	0.00	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	11	23%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bam Adebayo	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	0.00	16	75%	0.32	3	-0.16	8	75%	-0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	5	120%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	86%	0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.31,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	24	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.03	-0.25	0.00	9	55%	-0.14	3	-0.14	2	0%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	29.5	14.8	23.9	2.0	34.3	2.0	19.6	150.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +18.4%

NYK +3.2%

NYK +27.3%

NYK +8.1%

MIA -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.4	14.4	114.9	109.8	113.1
season	15.2	14.9		117.0	111.9
opponent	14.6	14.2		111.2	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	17.2	15.2	15.0	16.4	16.1	16.0
MIA	14.8	16.1	14.3	16.3	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	58	59	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.38	11	-7	18	15.6	16.5	-0.94	15.4	15.3	0.06
Josh Hart	82	82	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.59	1	3	-2	16.0	15.8	0.20	15.9	13.4	2.47
OG Anunoby	82	83	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-4	12	16.0	15.7	0.26	15.3	15.9	-0.63
Jalen Brunson	79	81	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.24	12	-8	20	16.4	14.5	1.85	15.3	15.6	-0.24
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-6	16	16.1	15.4	0.73	15.6	14.7	0.93
Mitchell Robinson	25	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	10	-16	15.4	16.1	-0.73	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Mikal Bridges	57	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	9	-14	15.7	16.3	-0.65	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Cameron Payne	20	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	9	-14	15.3	16.1	-0.81	15.6	15.3	0.24
Landry Shamet	26	27	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.08	-6	10	-16	16.5	15.8	0.69	15.1	15.5	-0.32

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kel'el Ware	58	55	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-4	4	14.9	16.0	-1.17	16.2	15.7	0.51
Terry Rozier	31	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.20	-8	4	-12	15.5	15.3	0.15	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Kyle Anderson	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-2	0	15.8	15.3	0.53	13.1	16.4	-3.30
Duncan Robinson	61	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-2	0	15.4	15.4	-0.01	15.4	16.8	-1.41
Alec Burks	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.41	6	-10	16	14.9	15.8	-0.95	16.7	15.3	1.44
Haywood Highsmith	71	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	7	-18	15.8	14.5	1.24	16.1	15.7	0.42
Davion Mitchell	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.58	4	-8	12	15.3	15.5	-0.15	16.1	15.6	0.51
Bam Adebayo	80	81	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-3	2	15.6	14.4	1.24	16.1	15.3	0.81
Tyler Herro	78	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.48	-6	2	-8	15.4	15.4	-0.04	15.9	16.0	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.83,0.69,0.54,0.66,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.31,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 109, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.55,0.68,0.82,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.16,0	90.4%
DET 128, POR 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.63,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.22,0.01,0	90.2%
DEN 113, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.02,0	89.6%