NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	128		Excitement	7.8 [315]		MVP	Jerami Grant (POR): +28.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	122		Comeback	72.0 [15]		LVP	Matisse Thybulle (POR): -17.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.12	-0.02	15	67%	0.29	3	-0.05	10	90%	-0.00
Marcus Sasser	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.03	0.16	-0.02	13	57%	0.24	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
James Wiseman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stanley Umude	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.08	8	82%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Cade Cunningham	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.02	17	57%	0.12	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Ausar Thompson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	9	30%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Mike Muscala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Rhoden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.03	21	54%	0.06	6	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.15	0.04	29	63%	0.57	4	-0.28	20	90%	0.08
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.01	-0.03	19	64%	0.18	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	6	100%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.04	14	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Minaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ibou Badji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ashton Hagans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.12	-0.05	7	29%	-0.14	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	6	17%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	29.5	14.7	28.5	2.0	39.0	2.4	12.4	158.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.6%

POR -24.1%

DET +19.2%

DET +20.5%

POR -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	POR	NBA	DET	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	14.5	120.8	111.9	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		108.4	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		116.2	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	16.9	14.9	13.2	13.6	19.5	15.0
POR	12.4	14.5	14.0	17.7	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ausar Thompson	55	59	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.30	20	-14	34	14.6	15.5	-0.83	14.9	14.2	0.76
Cade Cunningham	76	79	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.46	7	-1	8	15.4	13.9	1.51	14.7	14.1	0.65
Jalen Duren	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	2	2	15.5	13.8	1.73	14.7	14.3	0.36
Marcus Sasser	74	77	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-4	14	14.9	15.3	-0.38	14.9	13.7	1.20
Jaden Ivey	96	97	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	3	0	15.2	12.8	2.45	14.8	12.8	1.95
James Wiseman	32	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.14	2	4	-2	13.8	15.5	-1.73	14.3	14.7	-0.36
Jared Rhoden	27	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.17	2	4	-2	12.6	15.8	-3.21	14.6	14.5	0.10
Stanley Umude	59	60	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	9	-12	14.9	15.2	-0.27	14.0	15.2	-1.19
Mike Muscala	37	36	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.11	-15	21	-36	16.3	14.3	1.96	13.1	15.3	-2.18

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	53	53	0.46	-0.96	1.42	-0.18	22	-28	50	13.3	15.7	-2.43	15.8	14.3	1.51
Kris Murray	60	57	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.34	-5	-1	-4	14.7	14.4	0.25	14.4	15.8	-1.45
Justin Minaya	26	24	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.16	-3	-3	0	13.6	14.9	-1.30	15.1	15.0	0.14
Ibou Badji	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-5	4	13.9	14.7	-0.76	15.3	15.0	0.35
Matisse Thybulle	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.59	4	-10	14	14.7	14.3	0.44	15.4	14.0	1.37
Jabari Walker	89	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	-1	-4	14.7	13.9	0.76	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Jerami Grant	93	90	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	-1	-4	14.8	13.1	1.69	14.7	16.9	-2.26
Toumani Camara	73	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.41	-9	3	-12	14.4	15.0	-0.60	15.5	14.0	1.56
Ashton Hagans	56	53	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.14	-28	22	-50	15.7	13.3	2.43	14.3	15.8	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.63,0.94,0.91,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.22,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	92.1%
PHX 109, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.55,0.68,0.82,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.16,0	91.4%
UTA 93, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.05,0	91.3%