NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	119		Excitement	8.7 [151]		MVP	Quentin Grimes (PHI): +53.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	126		Comeback	1.8 [233]		LVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): -24.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton II	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.16	0.00	11	62%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gui Santos	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.21	0.11	0.10	-0.00	8	82%	0.22	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.02
Stephen Curry	0.14	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.16	-0.01	0.01	18	72%	0.20	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quinten Post	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	8	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Knox II	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Spencer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	13	43%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	8	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.54	0.54	0.33	0.20	-0.01	24	79%	0.58	2	-0.04	8	25%	-0.16
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.15	-0.00	8	90%	0.34	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	5	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.05	-0.00	13	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	14	17%	-0.17	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	32.7	15.0	30.0	3.4	35.7	147.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +75.1%

GSW -16.3%

GSW -10.8%

GSW -3.6%

PHI +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	14.4	119.0	126.0	112.8
season	14.3	15.1		113.3	110.5
opponent	14.2	14.5		115.8	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.2	15.6	14.5	14.7	15.0
PHI	12.5	13.8	13.2	16.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	77	78	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.37	12	-19	31	14.3	17.3	-3.06	14.1	13.0	1.10
Gary Payton II	47	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.29	8	-15	23	14.7	15.2	-0.54	14.9	12.8	2.08
Buddy Hield	33	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.15	3	-10	13	15.5	14.7	0.83	13.1	14.2	-1.11
Quinten Post	52	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-5	3	15.1	14.9	0.26	13.8	13.8	0.08
Gui Santos	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-7	7	14.1	15.5	-1.36	13.6	14.0	-0.38
Pat Spencer	6	7	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	2	-11	17.2	14.9	2.32	11.7	14.0	-2.25
Draymond Green	73	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-10	13	14.9	15.2	-0.32	14.7	11.3	3.38
Kevon Looney	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.03	-10	3	-13	15.1	15.0	0.12	11.8	14.5	-2.73
Kevin Knox II	15	14	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	7	-21	15.8	14.8	0.95	13.4	13.9	-0.44
Brandin Podziemski	55	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	9	-25	15.4	14.5	0.95	12.9	14.7	-1.81
Moses Moody	79	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	3	-13	15.4	13.6	1.80	14.0	13.2	0.75

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	81	81	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-7	21	13.9	13.4	0.48	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	26	26	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-5	17	13.8	13.8	0.05	18.0	13.9	4.12
Guerschon Yabusele	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	3	1	14.3	13.3	0.99	15.4	14.5	0.83
Tyrese Maxey	85	84	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	5	-3	13.9	13.3	0.64	14.4	18.2	-3.88
Kelly Oubre Jr.	90	89	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	6	-5	13.7	14.8	-1.10	14.4	19.8	-5.42
Quentin Grimes	79	79	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	12	-17	13.5	15.1	-1.69	14.4	17.2	-2.79
Andre Drummond	45	46	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	4	-1	13.3	14.3	-0.99	14.5	15.4	-0.83
Lonnie Walker IV	10	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	2	3	15.7	13.6	2.10	16.7	14.8	1.95
Justin Edwards	29	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	8	-9	13.9	13.8	0.12	17.7	13.8	3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.68,0.85,1	92.3%
TOR 93, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.99,1	91.2%
NJN 107, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	91.0%