NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	93		Excitement	7.3 [470]		MVP	Malcolm Brogdon (BOS): +30.5%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.5 [599]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): -14.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.06	0.05	17	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Precious Achiuwa	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	11	70%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Scottie Barnes	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	13	60%	0.09	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Chris Boucher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Koloko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.G. Anunoby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	16	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	14	23%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.16	-0.03	19	66%	0.36	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.11	0.02	6	86%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	15	50%	0.06	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	29	42%	-0.00	4	-0.12	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	22.9	14.8	28.6	2.4	35.4	129.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +48.2%

TOR -7.8%

BOS +16.6%

TOR -13.5%

BOS +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	14.4	95.9	100.0	113.4
season	14.7	14.5		114.0	116.3
opponent	14.6	14.5		110.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.0	18.5	13.0	12.7	14.2
BOS	14.7	14.3	15.2	17.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	47	47	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.14	10	-14	24	13.0	15.3	-2.36	15.6	15.4	0.16
Gary Trent Jr.	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	1	-6	14.2	14.1	0.10	15.8	15.4	0.49
Will Barton	26	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	0	-4	15.5	13.7	1.86	16.8	15.0	1.82
Christian Koloko	12	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	6	-16	15.4	14.0	1.42	12.6	15.9	-3.35
Fred VanVleet	75	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-8	12	13.3	17.2	-3.89	15.8	14.4	1.39
Chris Boucher	22	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	9	-22	17.5	13.2	4.30	13.5	16.1	-2.54
Scottie Barnes	80	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-5	6	14.2	14.2	-0.07	15.4	16.2	-0.87
Pascal Siakam	72	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-5	6	13.4	16.4	-2.94	15.2	16.6	-1.42
Precious Achiuwa	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	0	-4	15.3	13.5	1.83	16.3	15.0	1.36
O.G. Anunoby	80	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-4	4	14.3	13.5	0.78	15.7	14.8	0.84

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Williams III	66	63	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-2	8	14.9	16.9	-1.99	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Malcolm Brogdon	67	67	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-5	14	15.8	14.9	0.84	14.7	13.0	1.75
Jaylen Brown	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	0	4	15.0	17.7	-2.71	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Sam Hauser	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-7	18	14.3	17.4	-3.13	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Mike Muscala	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.46	-5	9	-14	16.1	14.4	1.66	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Derrick White	82	81	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.39	-4	8	-12	15.9	13.4	2.50	14.2	14.0	0.21
Blake Griffin	24	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	2	0	16.3	15.2	1.09	14.8	13.9	0.92
Grant Williams	37	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	3	-2	16.3	15.0	1.22	14.4	14.1	0.32
Luke Kornet	7	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	8	-12	18.7	15.3	3.45	12.2	14.3	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 89, VAN 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.97,1,1	93.9%
CHA 101, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.84,1	92.9%
CHI 116, PHX 121	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.96,1	92.7%