NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	116		Excitement	7.4 [348]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +39.8%
Phoenix Suns	121		Comeback	1.6 [890]		LVP	Tomas Satoransky (CHI): -10.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	0.00	18	57%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Thaddeus Young	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	14	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.04	11	73%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	18	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.4	0.40	0.24	0.18	0.02	24	78%	0.54	5	-0.14	10	90%	0.06
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.03	-0.00	9	84%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.01	4	91%	0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.02	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	13	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.03
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	8	56%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	23.6	15.4	23.6	2.4	34.5	128.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +75.6%

PHX +6.9%

CHI -37.0%

CHI -2.7%

PHX +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	14.0	14.4	118.4	127.4	111.3
season	14.5	14.7		109.9	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.3		109.6	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.4	16.4	15.4	15.2	15.8
PHX	12.4	14.9	16.0	13.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	29	29	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-9	13	18.1	14.9	3.28	15.5	13.3	2.15
Ryan Arcidiacono	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.07	3	-8	11	18.1	14.9	3.14	15.6	13.3	2.29
Daniel Theis	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-1	-3	17.9	14.6	3.32	14.3	13.8	0.55
Denzel Valentine	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-5	5	16.9	14.5	2.34	14.5	13.2	1.32
Thaddeus Young	61	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-4	3	14.6	17.9	-3.32	13.8	14.3	-0.55
Lauri Markkanen	71	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	16.0	15.5	0.48	13.5	15.3	-1.81
Tomas Satoransky	65	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	3	-11	15.2	17.2	-2.00	13.6	14.7	-1.04
Nikola Vucevic	75	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	1	-7	14.7	19.5	-4.83	13.7	14.8	-1.07
Patrick Williams	69	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	4	-13	14.9	18.1	-3.28	13.3	15.5	-2.15

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	64	66	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-5	15	13.9	14.1	-0.16	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Deandre Ayton	67	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-4	13	13.3	15.6	-2.29	15.0	17.9	-2.89
Devin Booker	73	76	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-2	9	13.7	15.0	-1.32	14.8	19.3	-4.44
Dario Saric	40	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	2	1	13.9	14.1	-0.20	16.9	15.2	1.70
Jae Crowder	58	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	13.3	15.0	-1.66	15.0	17.2	-2.23
Cameron Johnson	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	0	5	15.3	13.2	2.10	18.0	14.6	3.43
Mikal Bridges	57	62	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	8	-11	14.0	14.0	-0.02	14.6	17.9	-3.35
Torrey Craig	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	6	-7	15.5	13.4	2.09	18.3	14.8	3.44
Jevon Carter	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	7	-9	15.0	13.7	1.32	19.3	14.8	4.44
Cameron Payne	31	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	10	-15	14.1	13.9	0.16	15.9	15.8	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,1	93.5%
DET 69, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.96,1,1	93.4%
CLE 101, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.98,1	93.2%