NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	101		Excitement	7.0 [440]		MVP	Damon Jones (CLE): +15.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	1.5 [811]		LVP	Sean May (CHA): -18.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.05	0.00	8	78%	0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Carroll	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.07	0.05	0.04	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	54%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	17	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	12	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Sean May	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	0.00	13	48%	0.05	4	-0.24	5	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.00	7	79%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.00	12	50%	0.16	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	12	62%	0.15	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	11	73%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	0.02	17	49%	0.08	6	-0.17	11	91%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	31.1	15.8	25.0	1.8	31.2	132.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +23.4%

CLE +26.1%

CLE +0.5%

CHA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.4	109.8	111.8	104.5
season	15.7	16.0		101.7	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.0		99.6	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	16.6	16.6	15.4	15.8
CLE	15.3	12.8	17.7	15.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	21	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-9	15	15.3	16.0	-0.62	17.1	14.7	2.40
Matt Carroll	25	28	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-6	9	14.4	16.4	-2.00	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Primoz Brezec	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	0	-3	17.4	15.2	2.20	15.7	15.2	0.48
Melvin Ely	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	22.0	15.6	6.39	5.7	15.6	-9.98
Emeka Okafor	76	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.37	7	-10	17	16.2	14.2	1.97	16.3	11.1	5.22
Raymond Felton	74	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-5	7	16.6	12.5	4.12	14.9	17.1	-2.17
Adam Morrison	47	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	5	-13	14.6	17.1	-2.58	14.3	16.6	-2.30
Brevin Knight	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-3	3	15.0	17.3	-2.25	16.0	14.1	1.83
Gerald Wallace	72	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	2	-7	16.7	12.8	3.85	15.6	14.6	0.94
Sean May	55	55	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	12	-27	14.8	17.3	-2.43	14.2	16.9	-2.70

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	73	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-5	13	14.8	17.1	-2.33	16.1	14.6	1.49
Anderson Varejao	69	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-1	5	15.6	14.5	1.05	15.2	17.5	-2.22
LeBron James	80	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.1	16.5	-1.32	16.0	14.7	1.32
Eric Snow	64	63	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	4	-5	14.9	16.3	-1.44	16.6	14.2	2.35
Donyell Marshall	28	27	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-3	9	13.7	16.0	-2.25	14.4	16.4	-1.99
Damon Jones	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	-1	5	16.8	14.2	2.56	14.3	17.0	-2.66
Drew Gooden	45	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.27	-5	8	-13	16.4	14.3	2.09	17.7	13.8	3.94
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	40	40	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	1	1	16.0	14.8	1.28	16.0	15.6	0.42
Scot Pollard	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	3	-3	0.0	15.5	-15.49	0.0	15.8	-15.82
Daniel Gibson	24	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	9	-15	14.7	15.6	-0.88	13.7	16.5	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 77, OKC 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.95,1,1,1	93.3%
WAS 98, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.97,1,1	93.2%
NJN 104, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.99,1	93.2%