NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	5.2 [747]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +13.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	1.0 [943]		LVP	Naz Reid (MIN): -17.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	12	64%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	15	69%	0.18	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Jaden McDaniels	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	18	38%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	5	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luka Garza	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Clark	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Rob Dillingham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.18	-0.03	-0.05	10	14%	-0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.02	10	72%	0.18	4	-0.05	12	92%	0.04
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.10	-0.05	20	40%	0.10	3	-0.03	12	67%	-0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	21	63%	0.12	4	-0.06	10	70%	-0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.2	28.5	15.4	31.6	2.5	41.5	148.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +2.2%

LAL +10.5%

LAL +16.7%

LAL +11.2%

LAL +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	14.4	107.4	114.4	113.1
season	14.7	14.9		115.4	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.6		113.5	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	16.2	16.3	9.9	14.3
LAL	14.0	16.5	15.0	17.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	46	47	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.30	15	-24	39	13.8	14.8	-1.05	16.1	15.2	0.87
Luka Garza	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-10	11	14.2	14.3	-0.14	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Terrence Shannon Jr.	58	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.40	11	-20	31	12.7	16.9	-4.16	15.9	15.2	0.72
Rob Dillingham	24	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-4	-1	13.5	14.6	-1.11	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Jaylen Clark	30	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.14	-14	5	-19	14.5	14.2	0.25	15.7	15.6	0.09
Anthony Edwards	52	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	4	-17	16.0	12.3	3.66	14.4	17.2	-2.87
Naz Reid	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	0	-9	14.1	14.7	-0.61	16.1	14.9	1.26
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	69	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-8	7	14.8	13.0	1.88	15.4	16.3	-0.98
Mike Conley	51	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	8	-25	14.3	14.3	0.02	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Jaden McDaniels	73	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	4	-17	14.7	13.1	1.55	16.2	14.0	2.12

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaxson Hayes	46	46	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.08	18	-9	27	14.8	16.4	-1.63	15.3	13.4	1.90
LeBron James	77	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-3	15	14.9	18.5	-3.64	14.3	14.2	0.10
Rui Hachimura	37	36	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.17	21	-12	33	15.5	15.8	-0.32	15.8	13.4	2.38
Austin Reaves	78	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.12	9	0	9	15.8	15.3	0.49	14.4	13.9	0.48
Luka Doncic	72	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	9	-9	15.5	16.2	-0.78	14.6	13.4	1.22
Dorian Finney-Smith	62	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	8	-7	16.2	14.8	1.39	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Jordan Goodwin	25	25	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	1	7	16.2	15.5	0.67	13.7	14.6	-0.88
Dalton Knecht	22	22	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	11	-13	17.5	15.1	2.32	12.4	14.9	-2.55
Gabe Vincent	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	14	-19	16.6	15.0	1.56	13.2	15.1	-1.86
Jarred Vanderbilt	27	27	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.20	-17	26	-43	15.4	15.8	-0.40	13.7	14.6	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.89,0.97,0.92,1	94.7%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	94.5%
UTA 85, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	94.3%