NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	124		Excitement	8.1 [272]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +29.4%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	2.9 [218]		LVP	Grayson Allen (PHX): -21.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.29	0.16	0.14	0.00	17	71%	0.32	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Karlo Matkovic	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.11	0.06	-0.02	13	65%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	9	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.01	5	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	11	44%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
CJ McCollum	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.02	0.04	18	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Cain	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.04	18	49%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.03	0.04	7	107%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	29	58%	0.30	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	23	61%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	1	67%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
TyTy Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	7	0%	-0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	23.6	15.4	21.5	2.4	30.4	118.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +25.7%

PHX -8.2%

PHX -2.7%

NOP +26.9%

NOP +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHX	NBA	NOP	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	15.4	14.4	129.2	119.6	113.1
season	14.4	15.0		109.3	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.3		117.4	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.8	14.8	16.0	13.4	14.4
PHX	14.4	15.9	15.3	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hawkins	47	47	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.03	22	-14	36	13.8	15.1	-1.25	16.1	14.7	1.43
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	41	43	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.00	22	-14	36	13.6	15.1	-1.46	15.9	15.0	0.84
Zion Williamson	60	64	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-9	26	14.0	15.2	-1.24	15.6	14.9	0.73
Jose Alvarado	43	43	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-2	12	13.7	15.1	-1.40	14.7	15.9	-1.25
Karlo Matkovic	72	70	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	4	0	14.3	14.8	-0.46	16.1	13.6	2.44
Jamal Cain	20	21	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	11	-14	14.1	14.5	-0.44	15.9	15.3	0.59
Yves Missi	57	57	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.31	-11	19	-30	15.6	12.7	2.87	14.6	16.5	-1.84
Trey Murphy III	70	71	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.21	-9	17	-26	15.0	12.9	2.14	15.1	16.2	-1.04
CJ McCollum	70	69	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.23	-12	20	-32	14.9	13.2	1.77	14.9	16.6	-1.76

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	62	63	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.30	15	-23	38	15.2	15.7	-0.55	14.7	13.9	0.87
Bol Bol	57	58	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.31	15	-23	38	15.6	15.0	0.62	15.0	13.6	1.35
Tyus Jones	78	76	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.32	15	-23	38	15.6	14.6	1.01	14.7	13.3	1.39
Royce O'Neale	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	0	-8	12.0	16.5	-4.50	15.4	14.2	1.25
Collin Gillespie	9	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	1	-10	14.9	15.4	-0.55	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Kevin Durant	73	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-6	4	14.5	18.1	-3.58	14.7	13.7	0.99
Ryan Dunn	28	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	1	-10	16.6	14.9	1.66	13.2	14.9	-1.72
TyTy Washington Jr.	6	6	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	0	-8	15.5	15.4	0.12	11.7	14.6	-2.97
Devin Booker	84	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	15.9	12.2	3.74	14.1	16.6	-2.51
Mason Plumlee	34	33	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.02	-21	13	-34	16.2	15.0	1.25	13.9	14.7	-0.87
Grayson Allen	31	31	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.03	-22	14	-36	16.3	15.0	1.27	14.3	14.5	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.04,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.49,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.01,0	91.4%
POR 117, MIN 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.26,0.08,0.03,0.15,0.04,0,0,0	90.8%
OKC 108, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.04,0,0	90.8%