NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	7.8 [314]		MVP	Klay Thompson (DAL): +23.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	1.2 [891]		LVP	P.J. Washington (DAL): -26.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.13	-0.02	17	61%	0.28	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	27	58%	0.16	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kessler Edwards	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	13	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.19	-0.09	-0.01	9	0%	-0.21	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.19	0.01	17	71%	0.36	6	-0.13	4	75%	-0.02
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	12	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	17	45%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.6	28.3	16.6	30.0	2.7	27.4	136.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.2%

LAL +5.9%

LAL +12.8%

LAL +1.5%

DAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.7	14.4	101.0	105.9	113.1
season	14.3	14.9		113.3	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.4		113.5	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	13.2	14.2	14.9	14.2
LAL	14.2	15.0	14.6	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	15	14	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.00	6	-14	20	14.8	14.1	0.67	15.4	14.6	0.76
Dante Exum	25	22	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-11	14	14.7	14.1	0.65	15.5	14.5	1.08
Naji Marshall	51	49	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.20	9	-17	26	13.9	14.6	-0.69	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Spencer Dinwiddie	51	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-8	8	14.8	13.6	1.19	14.5	14.9	-0.36
P.J. Washington	71	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-4	0	13.9	15.0	-1.06	14.2	16.4	-2.25
Kessler Edwards	25	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	7	-22	15.0	14.0	1.03	14.7	14.7	0.00
Dwight Powell	31	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	14.9	13.9	0.93	15.4	14.4	0.98
Max Christie	76	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-5	2	13.8	15.8	-2.04	15.0	13.5	1.55
Kyrie Irving	84	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	2	-12	14.0	15.9	-1.89	14.4	16.8	-2.42
Klay Thompson	61	63	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.20	-20	12	-32	14.3	14.1	0.29	14.8	14.5	0.33

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	80	77	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.20	19	-11	30	15.1	13.3	1.79	14.3	14.0	0.24
Austin Reaves	78	77	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-8	24	14.9	14.0	0.97	14.4	13.5	0.90
Luka Doncic	76	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	0	8	14.4	15.5	-1.09	13.9	15.1	-1.18
Jaxson Hayes	37	36	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	0	8	14.0	15.1	-1.15	14.6	14.0	0.59
LeBron James	78	74	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.33	-5	13	-18	15.0	13.8	1.19	14.1	14.5	-0.41
Dorian Finney-Smith	58	56	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	9	-10	14.7	14.8	-0.11	14.6	13.7	0.87
Dalton Knecht	22	21	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	8	-8	16.7	14.2	2.53	12.9	14.6	-1.75
Gabe Vincent	34	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	14.0	15.1	-1.06	14.3	14.2	0.10
Jarred Vanderbilt	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	9	-10	13.2	15.3	-2.09	14.2	14.3	-0.11
Jordan Goodwin	12	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	10	-12	15.2	14.6	0.62	14.6	14.2	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.67,0.77,0.73,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.81,0.78,0.93,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 89, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.96,1	93.1%
HOU 99, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.98,0.95,1	92.8%
UTA 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	92.7%