NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	148		Excitement	13.1 [9]		MVP	Jaylen Wells (MEM): +50.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	151		Comeback	46.0 [47]		LVP	Tyus Jones (PHX): -3.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.14,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.36	0.16	0.19	-0.01	10	84%	0.58	2	-0.22	5	60%	-0.05
Bol Bol	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.27	0.17	0.11	0.01	11	82%	0.41	1	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	5	83%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mason Plumlee	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	3	87%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.02	20	57%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Devin Booker	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.17,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	20	67%	0.23	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.05,0.03,0.1,0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	19	58%	0.11	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Ryan Dunn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.5	0.50	0.16	0.31	-0.03	12	79%	0.50	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.25	0.09	0.04	13	90%	0.34	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.05
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.15	0.12	0.00	9	94%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.11	0.00	15	69%	0.27	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.07
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	10	61%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.03,-0.11,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.07	0.07	-0.09	0.15	-0.01	25	45%	0.24	5	-0.17	14	100%	0.18
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	24.6	15.3	28.6	2.4	42.6	2.5	15.0	157.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -7.0%

MEM +21.3%

PHX -4.2%

MEM +36.4%

MEM +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	13.0	14.4	124.4	130.2	113.1
season	15.0	13.3		114.3	116.5
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.0	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.2	15.9	14.7	13.6	11.8	14.1
MEM	12.1	12.3	12.4	13.1	18.9	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	38	39	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.13	4	-7	11	13.3	14.4	-1.08	12.2	13.4	-1.16
Devin Booker	79	79	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.16	3	-6	9	14.3	13.7	0.60	12.3	14.4	-2.02
Tyus Jones	25	27	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-6	9	14.4	14.0	0.36	14.1	12.6	1.53
Royce O'Neale	33	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-5	7	12.6	14.6	-1.99	13.1	12.9	0.17
Bradley Beal	100	95	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-2	1	13.8	15.7	-1.98	12.8	13.6	-0.73
Ryan Dunn	15	14	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	0	-3	13.1	14.2	-1.15	13.4	12.9	0.52
Mason Plumlee	72	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	0	-3	15.0	12.7	2.27	13.6	12.0	1.54
Bol Bol	75	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	9	-21	14.0	14.2	-0.24	12.3	14.0	-1.69
Grayson Allen	62	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-2	1	14.3	13.8	0.55	14.3	11.5	2.86
Kevin Durant	97	93	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.47	-9	6	-15	14.2	13.5	0.65	12.6	14.6	-1.98

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Bane	94	95	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-9	21	13.2	11.8	1.43	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Santi Aldama	67	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	13.1	12.7	0.41	14.2	14.0	0.20
Ja Morant	83	87	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	12.6	13.8	-1.18	14.0	14.2	-0.15
Jaylen Wells	89	91	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-3	9	12.9	13.3	-0.42	13.5	15.9	-2.33
Brandon Clarke	43	44	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	-2	7	13.3	12.8	0.52	14.9	13.6	1.32
Luke Kennard	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	8	-13	13.3	12.8	0.56	13.1	14.6	-1.54
GG Jackson	17	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	4	-5	11.1	13.3	-2.18	16.3	13.6	2.67
Vince Williams Jr.	27	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	6	-9	13.3	12.9	0.42	15.9	13.5	2.33
Jaren Jackson Jr.	73	72	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.09	-2	5	-7	12.6	13.6	-1.04	14.1	14.0	0.05
Zach Edey	45	46	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.06	-9	12	-21	13.4	12.7	0.77	13.8	14.3	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.37,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 132, DET 133	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.78,0.57,0.42,1	89.5%
NOK 95, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.28,1	89.2%
SEA 87, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.36,0.69,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.16,1	88.9%