NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	95		Excitement	10.6 [56]		MVP	Juan Dixon (POR): +42.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	12.1 [134]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -24.2%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	3	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.18	-0.08	0.00	16	71%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Chris Paul	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.10	0.02	12	68%	0.34	6	-0.25	7	71%	-0.03
Chris Andersen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,0.05,-0.14	0.01	-0.13	0.02	14	50%	-0.09	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.11
P.J. Brown	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	4	0%	-0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.18,0.29,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.11	0.31	-0.00	22	64%	0.58	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.26	-0.00	4	40%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	6	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.05
Ha Seung-Jin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	10	67%	0.11	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	46%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Sergei Monia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	12	46%	0.09	3	-0.19	2	0%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	11	37%	-0.09	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24	-0.24	0.03	-0.25	0.02	4	70%	-0.15	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	27.0	15.6	27.4	2.6	33.9	1.7	16.1	151.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +90.9%

NOK -50.6%

POR +24.4%

NOK -19.5%

POR +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	POR	NBA	NOK	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	17.3	15.6	100.0	102.1	104.4
season	16.3	16.6		101.2	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		109.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOK	13.5	16.3	16.0	18.4	17.0	16.0
POR	15.3	18.9	19.1	16.8	16.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	44	44	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.10	8	-11	19	15.3	16.6	-1.35	18.5	16.2	2.31
Rasual Butler	40	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-5	7	15.1	16.6	-1.47	17.7	17.0	0.63
J.R. Smith	37	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-3	3	15.9	16.1	-0.13	18.4	16.6	1.83
Kirk Snyder	8	7	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-4	5	16.5	16.0	0.55	14.9	17.5	-2.63
Speedy Claxton	61	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-5	7	16.1	15.8	0.32	16.9	18.1	-1.23
Desmond Mason	54	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	4	-11	16.8	14.9	1.93	17.3	17.2	0.11
Chris Paul	85	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	4	-11	15.8	17.9	-2.12	17.1	18.8	-1.68
P.J. Brown	70	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.48	-6	3	-9	16.6	14.3	2.33	17.2	17.6	-0.47
David West	76	77	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.44	-8	5	-13	15.9	16.6	-0.72	16.7	19.7	-3.05

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	62	61	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.46	11	-8	19	16.9	18.0	-1.05	16.4	15.4	1.01
Joel Przybilla	80	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-3	9	17.3	17.2	0.05	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Steve Blake	40	38	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	2	-1	16.9	17.6	-0.67	16.8	15.5	1.36
Martell Webster	31	29	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	0	3	16.6	17.6	-1.05	14.6	16.6	-1.99
Viktor Khryapa	60	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	-5	13	17.3	17.2	0.16	17.4	13.6	3.85
Sergei Monia	13	14	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.26	-1	4	-5	15.2	17.6	-2.38	12.9	16.5	-3.69
Ruben Patterson	62	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	1	1	17.3	17.2	0.09	17.0	14.3	2.62
Ha Seung-Jin	6	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	3	-3	17.3	17.3	0.04	18.1	15.8	2.31
Travis Outlaw	5	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	17.4	17.3	0.11	12.5	16.2	-3.74
Jarrett Jack	14	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	10	-17	15.3	17.6	-2.35	14.2	16.3	-2.14
Sebastian Telfair	56	57	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	5	-7	17.7	16.7	1.06	15.1	17.3	-2.19
Zach Randolph	51	51	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	7	-11	18.9	15.4	3.52	15.7	16.3	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 132, DET 133	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.78,0.57,0.42,1	89.9%
SEA 87, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.36,0.69,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.16,1	88.6%
POR 99, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.71,0.43,0.72,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.31,0.09,1	88.6%