NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	97		Excitement	9.5 [105]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +16.6%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.7 [570]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (MIL): -41.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.08	0.11	0.03	17	59%	0.20	1	-0.04	12	75%	0.12
AJ Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.21	-0.04	-0.12	0.05	22	45%	-0.11	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.41,-0.41	-0.06	-0.35	0.01	10	43%	-0.23	3	-0.19	1	0%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.07	0.03	16	56%	0.16	1	-0.05	9	78%	-0.02
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	20	60%	0.32	4	-0.25	2	100%	0.04
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.06	0.01	13	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	10	54%	0.06	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	8	50%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25	-0.25	-0.03	-0.19	0.02	12	50%	-0.13	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	24.4	15.4	25.6	1.8	38.2	134.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.5%

MIL -0.8%

HOU +39.4%

MIL -20.7%

HOU +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	HOU	NBA	MIL	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	15.1	14.4	97.0	101.0	113.1
season	14.4	14.7		113.5	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.2		108.7	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.6	14.4	13.5	13.0	13.9
HOU	14.2	13.9	15.3	17.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	75	74	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-9	15	13.6	14.8	-1.20	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Taurean Prince	52	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	1	-5	14.1	13.6	0.41	15.3	14.9	0.38
Damian Lillard	78	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-5	7	13.6	15.0	-1.40	14.9	15.7	-0.76
Gary Trent Jr.	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	1	-5	14.2	13.6	0.57	15.5	14.8	0.69
AJ Green	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.52	8	-11	19	13.9	13.8	0.06	15.4	14.5	0.87
Giannis Antetokounmpo	68	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-4	5	13.3	15.1	-1.77	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Kevin Porter Jr.	22	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	2	-7	15.0	13.6	1.40	15.7	14.9	0.76
Jericho Sims	25	25	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	6	-15	14.8	13.6	1.20	16.2	14.7	1.48
Kyle Kuzma	73	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.33	-10	7	-17	14.0	13.4	0.67	14.8	15.7	-0.85

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	76	74	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.52	13	-10	23	14.6	16.7	-2.09	13.7	14.4	-0.71
Tari Eason	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-4	11	15.4	14.4	0.97	13.8	14.1	-0.30
Dillon Brooks	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	14.9	15.6	-0.69	13.6	14.5	-0.94
Aaron Holiday	23	24	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-6	15	14.8	15.2	-0.40	14.1	13.8	0.35
Jabari Smith Jr.	68	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.50	-7	10	-17	15.4	14.4	1.02	13.9	13.8	0.08
Jalen Green	76	77	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.36	-6	9	-15	15.2	14.8	0.40	13.7	14.5	-0.86
Jae'Sean Tate	3	3	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	-1	5	20.0	14.9	5.06	13.3	13.9	-0.54
Jeff Green	24	25	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	2	-1	15.1	15.1	0.04	13.9	13.8	0.08
Amen Thompson	70	72	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.13	0	3	-3	15.0	15.2	-0.16	14.2	13.0	1.14
Jock Landale	16	17	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.05	-9	12	-21	14.8	15.1	-0.33	15.2	13.6	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.87,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.57,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, CHA 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.65,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.74,1	92.4%
MIN 93, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.92,1	91.4%
HOU 88, SAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.55,0.45,0.84,1	91.3%