NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	88		Excitement	8.6 [138]		MVP	Steve Kerr (SAS): +12.9%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	1.5 [800]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -18.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.26,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	22	56%	0.15	3	-0.07	8	87%	-0.03
Carlos Rogers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	13	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	0.04	-0.17	0.01	23	56%	-0.06	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Walt Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	10	10%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.01	-0.16	0.01	12	44%	-0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	0.00	2	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	0.01	7	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	60%	0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Jaren Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.06
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	24	52%	0.07	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.04
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	11	36%	-0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	24.8	16.5	25.4	1.7	37.1	130.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +73.5%

SAS +10.6%

HOU -24.5%

HOU -11.1%

SAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	15.0	15.5	96.7	98.9	100.9
season	16.3	15.9		104.6	103.4
opponent	15.5	14.9		96.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.8	15.3	16.9	17.5	16.6
SAS	14.5	15.3	15.8	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	42	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	16.3	16.9	-0.68	15.6	14.5	1.15
Carlos Rogers	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-1	0	16.5	16.7	-0.17	15.7	14.8	0.96
Maurice Taylor	68	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.33	7	-9	16	16.5	17.1	-0.67	15.2	14.6	0.55
Kenny Thomas	29	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	5	-12	17.1	16.4	0.65	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Hakeem Olajuwon	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-6	10	16.2	17.3	-1.09	15.1	14.9	0.22
Walt Williams	38	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	1	-4	16.6	16.7	-0.08	14.3	15.5	-1.22
Steve Francis	81	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	3	-8	16.7	16.0	0.70	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Cuttino Mobley	88	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-2	2	16.8	12.0	4.78	15.2	9.0	6.23
Moochie Norris	32	31	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	0	-2	17.3	16.2	1.11	14.3	15.4	-1.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	85	85	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-2	6	14.9	17.3	-2.47	16.4	19.2	-2.72
Derek Anderson	80	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	14.8	16.4	-1.53	16.6	17.1	-0.53
Steve Kerr	36	35	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	-5	12	15.3	14.9	0.42	17.4	16.2	1.21
Terry Porter	49	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	0	2	15.1	15.0	0.13	16.0	17.4	-1.41
David Robinson	53	55	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	-4	10	15.1	15.0	0.08	16.5	16.8	-0.25
Antonio Daniels	46	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.35	-3	5	-8	14.6	15.4	-0.79	16.9	16.4	0.48
Malik Rose	71	68	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	2	-2	15.7	12.5	3.17	17.1	15.1	2.00
Jaren Jackson	2	2	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	0	2	7.0	15.2	-8.20	12.5	16.7	-4.22
Derrick Dial	6	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	15.2	15.0	0.15	14.0	16.8	-2.81
Danny Ferry	27	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	7	-12	15.0	15.0	-0.08	17.0	16.5	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.55,0.45,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.57,0.98,1	91.7%
UTA 104, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.73,1	91.7%
LAL 111, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	91.3%