NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	86		Excitement	6.4 [462]		MVP	Onyeka Okongwu (ATL): +11.6%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	1.4 [624]		LVP	Tyler Herro (MIA): -21.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	-0.00	-0.02	14	66%	0.16	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Kyle Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	4	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Kel'el Ware	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	13	47%	0.01	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Davion Mitchell	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	12	19%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Herro	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.05	19	27%	-0.17	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	10	77%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	71%	0.16	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	14	35%	-0.03	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	22.8	14.8	27.4	2.3	37.5	133.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +63.7%

MIA -18.7%

ATL +10.5%

MIA -5.8%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	ATL	NBA	MIA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	14.4	88.7	102.1	113.0
season	14.9	13.3		110.6	112.1
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.9	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.7	14.8	18.7	13.1	15.0
ATL	14.0	13.4	14.0	18.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duncan Robinson	41	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-15	18	16.4	13.9	2.49	15.1	14.6	0.52
Kyle Anderson	54	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-14	16	14.4	15.8	-1.38	16.1	13.1	3.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	15	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-6	0	15.9	14.8	1.10	12.3	15.3	-2.99
Davion Mitchell	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-7	2	15.6	14.4	1.28	13.6	16.2	-2.60
Kel'el Ware	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	15.6	14.4	1.28	13.7	16.0	-2.35
Tyler Herro	72	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-8	4	13.9	18.2	-4.36	15.0	14.5	0.51
Alec Burks	55	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	1	-14	14.8	15.3	-0.55	15.2	14.4	0.87
Bam Adebayo	76	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	3	-18	14.8	15.6	-0.73	15.1	13.8	1.32
Andrew Wiggins	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	5	-22	15.1	14.8	0.23	15.1	14.0	1.17

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	75	78	0.75	-0.25	1.00	-0.01	26	-14	40	14.8	14.9	-0.08	15.4	13.2	2.23
Onyeka Okongwu	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	2	8	15.2	14.2	1.02	14.1	16.4	-2.32
Dyson Daniels	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	5	2	15.0	14.3	0.71	14.0	17.5	-3.56
Caris LeVert	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	7	-2	15.2	14.3	0.98	14.3	16.0	-1.73
Terance Mann	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	6	0	15.3	14.3	0.96	15.0	15.0	0.08
Mouhamed Gueye	32	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	5	2	14.0	15.3	-1.31	16.1	14.4	1.70
Zaccharie Risacher	54	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	13	-14	15.1	14.5	0.53	15.2	14.7	0.50
Clint Capela	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	10	-8	14.2	15.2	-1.02	16.4	14.1	2.32
Georges Niang	47	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	14	-16	13.9	15.7	-1.78	15.6	14.5	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.7%
CLE 97, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	94.5%
NYK 90, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%