NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	111		Excitement	3.4 [1120]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +15.1%
Indiana Pacers	129		Comeback	1.0 [942]		LVP	Kris Dunn (LAC): -7.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	-0.00	0.08	11	79%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	9	58%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
James Harden	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	17	72%	0.16	5	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
MarJon Beauchamp	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	13	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.22	0.01	0.07	14	83%	0.16	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.02	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.01	0.05	11	76%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	5	108%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	117%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	12	40%	-0.00	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.3	30.6	15.4	31.5	1.8	31.4	139.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.2%

IND +1.0%

IND +10.9%

IND +2.2%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	13.5	14.4	111.0	126.5	113.0
season	14.9	13.9		113.8	114.9
opponent	14.7	14.4		112.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	15.5	14.4	15.2	15.0
IND	15.1	11.7	11.9	16.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	16.1	14.9	1.24	16.6	13.3	3.30
MarJon Beauchamp	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-22	26	14.6	15.1	-0.51	15.1	13.0	2.05
Kobe Brown	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-18	18	15.5	14.8	0.74	15.2	13.0	2.24
Nicolas Batum	15	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-17	16	15.3	14.9	0.42	13.6	13.5	0.05
Drew Eubanks	20	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-12	6	15.9	14.7	1.15	15.0	13.1	1.82
Bogdan Bogdanovic	62	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-19	20	14.1	16.4	-2.32	13.4	13.8	-0.41
Ben Simmons	51	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-12	6	14.3	15.7	-1.32	13.7	13.4	0.25
Derrick Jones Jr.	42	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-1	-16	16.0	14.2	1.76	12.9	14.0	-1.08
Ivica Zubac	65	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-9	0	15.0	14.9	0.10	13.6	13.5	0.04
Amir Coffey	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.12	-17	-1	-16	15.6	14.3	1.29	13.1	14.1	-1.03
James Harden	75	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-1	-16	14.6	16.2	-1.57	13.1	14.8	-1.71
Kris Dunn	59	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.16	-21	3	-24	15.0	14.9	0.13	12.6	14.8	-2.19

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	65	66	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.21	27	-9	36	12.5	15.4	-2.91	15.7	13.6	2.06
Andrew Nembhard	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	1	16	13.6	13.5	0.14	14.7	15.4	-0.63
Tyrese Haliburton	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	3	12	13.0	14.4	-1.39	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Pascal Siakam	63	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	2	14	13.1	14.2	-1.10	15.4	14.3	1.13
Aaron Nesmith	51	50	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.14	17	1	16	13.3	13.8	-0.47	15.7	14.2	1.52
T.J. McConnell	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.00	4	14	-10	14.7	13.1	1.58	15.3	14.8	0.50
Obi Toppin	50	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	16	-14	15.2	12.0	3.20	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Bennedict Mathurin	47	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	21	-24	13.4	13.7	-0.35	14.1	15.7	-1.57
Ben Sheppard	36	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	16	-14	14.1	13.3	0.78	15.4	14.7	0.70
Johnny Furphy	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.4	13.6	-0.13	15.0	15.0	0.02
Jarace Walker	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.4	13.6	-0.13	15.0	15.0	0.02
Thomas Bryant	26	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	27	-36	14.1	13.4	0.71	13.5	15.5	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 99, UTA 129	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
HOU 75, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHI 82, LAC 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%