NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	115		Excitement	7.8 [332]		MVP	Jeff Green (HOU): +29.9%
Utah Jazz	124		Comeback	3.6 [196]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -10.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.11	-0.02	8	100%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.09	-0.01	15	67%	0.26	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	21	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Jock Landale	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Alperen Sengun	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	24	48%	0.02	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.08
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	19%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.08	-0.00	17	68%	0.29	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.08
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.00	19	55%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Walker Kessler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	5	85%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	15	40%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	37%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	31.0	14.6	26.5	2.5	27.6	128.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.3%

HOU -6.0%

UTA +21.5%

UTA +1.0%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	14.5	14.4	112.7	121.6	113.0
season	14.8	14.8		113.9	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.3		119.0	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.0	11.6	15.5	15.2	13.7
UTA	15.3	13.2	15.1	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reed Sheppard	18	19	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-12	15	12.7	13.9	-1.19	13.6	14.7	-1.17
Cam Whitmore	23	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-5	1	13.5	13.8	-0.24	14.6	14.5	0.09
Jock Landale	25	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-3	-3	13.7	13.7	-0.03	14.1	14.6	-0.52
Amen Thompson	79	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-8	7	13.2	15.5	-2.34	14.9	13.1	1.83
Jeff Green	46	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-2	-5	13.8	13.6	0.22	15.0	14.1	0.94
Aaron Holiday	45	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	13.2	14.1	-0.95	14.0	14.9	-0.98
Dillon Brooks	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-5	1	14.1	12.9	1.15	14.6	14.4	0.26
Alperen Sengun	72	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.35	-1	-8	7	13.5	14.2	-0.65	14.5	14.5	0.07
Jalen Green	75	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	1	-11	13.9	13.1	0.86	14.3	15.2	-0.94
Jabari Smith Jr.	59	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	1	-11	14.6	12.5	2.15	14.6	14.4	0.21

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Sensabaugh	49	49	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-4	17	14.7	14.4	0.32	15.2	12.3	2.84
Walker Kessler	70	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	-2	13	14.5	14.6	-0.14	13.9	13.3	0.64
Johnny Juzang	36	37	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	-1	11	14.4	14.6	-0.26	14.5	13.3	1.22
Keyonte George	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	2	5	14.2	15.0	-0.76	13.1	14.7	-1.60
Cody Williams	51	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	4	1	14.6	14.5	0.08	13.4	14.0	-0.63
Isaiah Collier	71	69	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	9	-9	14.5	14.6	-0.12	13.4	14.4	-1.02
KJ Martin	59	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	3	3	14.4	14.7	-0.37	14.3	12.8	1.59
Lauri Markkanen	71	70	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	7	-5	14.8	13.9	0.90	13.0	15.3	-2.34
Kyle Filipowski	32	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	11	-13	14.6	14.5	0.14	13.3	13.9	-0.64
Jaden Springer	8	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	16	-23	15.4	14.5	0.92	12.2	13.8	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.22,0.34,0.52,0.63,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.85,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%
LAL 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.4%
BOS 101, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.53,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.1%