NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	7.4 [353]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (LAL): +16.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	116		Comeback	3.0 [161]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -13.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.01	10	77%	0.17	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	90%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	15	47%	0.11	4	-0.12	10	30%	-0.09
Jared Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	13	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.02	0.05	13	54%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.12	0.02	8	72%	0.19	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.07	0.04	13	65%	0.18	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.05
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	10	67%	0.15	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.03	0.03	8	75%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	11	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	12	54%	0.00	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.6	37.0	17.7	29.5	2.6	33.3	148.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +13.2%

LAL +12.4%

LAL +20.4%

LAC -0.6%

LAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.5	15.1	105.1	117.2	105.2
season	14.3	14.0		111.0	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.4		108.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.2	12.4	14.8	15.0	13.8
LAL	14.0	16.4	14.0	17.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	43	45	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-13	13	14.6	13.2	1.39	17.2	14.0	3.12
Reggie Bullock	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	6.7	14.1	-7.32	12.0	15.6	-3.56
Ryan Hollins	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-11	9	11.2	14.0	-2.81	16.5	15.4	1.14
Blake Griffin	80	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-7	1	14.1	12.2	1.97	15.8	14.1	1.71
Darren Collison	22	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-15	17	13.4	13.9	-0.53	17.6	14.8	2.81
Jamal Crawford	54	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-11	9	12.9	14.8	-1.85	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Chris Paul	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	0	-13	13.9	13.4	0.53	14.8	17.7	-2.98
Matt Barnes	61	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	1	-15	13.3	14.5	-1.19	15.0	16.2	-1.24
DeAndre Jordan	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	0	-13	14.1	12.8	1.30	14.9	17.1	-2.23
JJ Redick	67	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.09	-19	6	-25	14.3	12.6	1.75	15.6	15.1	0.56

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	51	52	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-6	25	16.2	14.7	1.49	13.8	13.8	-0.01
Jordan Hill	33	34	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-4	21	18.4	14.0	4.36	14.2	13.5	0.66
Wesley Johnson	41	40	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-2	17	15.7	15.3	0.47	14.6	13.2	1.35
Jordan Farmar	55	55	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-2	17	15.9	14.9	1.06	13.8	13.7	0.10
Xavier Henry	52	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-2	17	16.1	14.7	1.43	13.9	13.7	0.23
Chris Kaman	44	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	13	-13	13.9	16.7	-2.74	13.1	14.3	-1.22
Pau Gasol	52	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	15	-17	14.4	16.6	-2.13	13.7	13.8	-0.10
Nick Young	48	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	17	-21	14.7	16.2	-1.49	13.7	13.9	-0.23
Steve Nash	44	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	15	-17	14.9	15.9	-1.06	13.7	13.8	-0.10
Shawne Williams	27	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	15	-17	16.0	15.3	0.70	13.2	14.0	-0.76
Steve Blake	48	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	19	-25	14.7	16.2	-1.49	13.8	13.8	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,1	92.5%
PHI 78, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.0%
CHI 77, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	91.7%