NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	121		Excitement	7.7 [354]		MVP	Kevin Durant (PHX): +35.4%
Chicago Bulls	117		Comeback	3.2 [633]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (CHI): -20.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.35,0.35	0.16	0.20	0.01	15	75%	0.40	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.10
Devin Booker	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	20	63%	0.27	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	5	77%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Richards	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.01	9	65%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Bradley Beal	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	19	62%	0.15	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bol Bol	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grayson Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.03	-0.01	14	65%	0.20	0	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.02	14	62%	0.18	1	-0.07	4	100%	-0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.06	0.02	10	68%	0.07	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	16	47%	-0.02	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	9	17%	-0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	25.1	14.4	25.6	2.3	33.8	125.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +12.0%

PHX +21.7%

PHX +15.9%

PHX +7.9%

CHI -7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	13.0	14.4	116.3	113.6	113.0
season	15.0	13.2		114.3	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.2		114.2	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	15.6	14.3	15.0	14.8
CHI	12.7	12.7	12.9	13.8	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	82	78	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.40	11	-7	18	15.3	13.1	2.18	13.3	12.2	1.07
Royce O'Neale	51	50	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.46	8	-4	12	15.4	14.3	1.11	13.1	12.9	0.25
Kevin Durant	82	79	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.47	6	-2	8	15.7	11.5	4.20	13.1	12.9	0.18
Nick Richards	60	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-3	10	15.8	13.4	2.42	12.7	13.5	-0.82
Devin Booker	82	81	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.41	-4	8	-12	14.7	15.1	-0.36	12.8	13.7	-0.85
Tyus Jones	44	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	3	-2	14.1	15.3	-1.24	13.1	12.9	0.18
Mason Plumlee	37	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	6	-8	13.1	15.7	-2.60	13.3	12.8	0.44
Bol Bol	28	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	5	-6	12.7	15.6	-2.82	13.2	12.9	0.32
Grayson Allen	54	54	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	10	-16	14.0	15.7	-1.68	12.7	13.3	-0.64

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	65	66	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-15	26	12.7	13.6	-0.86	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Zach Collins	39	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-1	-2	13.4	12.8	0.56	13.8	15.4	-1.65
Julian Phillips	51	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-4	4	13.8	12.2	1.57	14.1	15.5	-1.46
Tre Jones	34	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-1	-2	13.5	12.8	0.69	12.9	15.7	-2.79
Dalen Terry	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	5	-14	15.7	12.8	2.97	14.1	14.9	-0.76
Lonzo Ball	62	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-7	10	12.7	13.5	-0.88	15.5	13.7	1.80
Josh Giddey	71	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-6	8	13.0	13.1	-0.17	15.7	12.5	3.24
Matas Buzelis	52	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	0	-4	12.2	13.8	-1.57	15.5	14.1	1.46
Nikola Vucevic	64	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-3	2	12.8	13.4	-0.56	15.4	13.8	1.65
Coby White	69	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.17	-16	12	-28	13.1	12.8	0.37	14.3	15.8	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.07,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.31,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	92.3%
MIA 111, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.06,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.13,0.02,0	91.6%
OKC 112, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.16,0.01,0,0	91.4%