NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	6.1 [380]		MVP	Keldon Johnson (SAS): +22.7%
San Antonio Spurs	120		Comeback	1.1 [404]		LVP	Tyus Jones (PHX): -9.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	13	79%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.04	0.02	16	79%	0.21	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Grayson Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	10	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bol Bol	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nick Richards	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.03	14	61%	0.05	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Devin Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.05	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	0.00	9	79%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.00	7	94%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	19	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.03
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	14	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	12	36%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.7	26.5	16.6	29.2	3.3	39.6	145.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +18.4%

PHX -7.5%

SAS +20.9%

SAS +17.5%

SAS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	14.4	106.9	116.5	112.6
season	14.9	14.2		113.3	112.1
opponent	14.4	14.1		113.4	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	14.8	14.3	12.8	14.1
SAS	12.0	15.2	12.9	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	39	39	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-16	21	14.2	14.1	0.14	13.4	14.3	-0.83
Tyus Jones	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-9	7	15.0	13.4	1.66	15.2	12.9	2.33
Nick Richards	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-1	-9	15.5	13.9	1.64	13.8	14.0	-0.14
Grayson Allen	71	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-6	1	13.9	14.8	-0.90	13.6	14.8	-1.20
Bol Bol	23	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.07	-13	2	-15	15.8	13.7	2.17	10.2	15.1	-4.90
Devin Booker	87	88	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-7	3	13.7	16.9	-3.19	14.0	13.9	0.02
Royce O'Neale	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-6	1	13.8	15.0	-1.20	14.8	11.5	3.30
Bradley Beal	70	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	-2	-7	13.8	14.8	-1.02	13.5	14.8	-1.29
Kevin Durant	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	1	-13	14.1	14.3	-0.15	14.5	12.1	2.38

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Vassell	69	68	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-6	23	14.2	13.4	0.81	14.2	14.1	0.13
Chris Paul	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-4	19	14.2	13.5	0.72	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Jeremy Sochan	62	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-3	17	13.0	15.3	-2.31	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Stephon Castle	58	55	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	4	3	13.2	14.9	-1.63	14.4	13.9	0.51
De'Aaron Fox	81	82	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-1	13	13.7	14.8	-1.10	14.0	14.6	-0.63
Keldon Johnson	55	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	9	-7	14.2	13.7	0.46	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Bismack Biyombo	35	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	8	-5	14.7	13.6	1.07	14.2	14.1	0.12
Julian Champagnie	36	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	17	-23	13.6	14.1	-0.57	14.1	14.2	-0.14
Harrison Barnes	54	54	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.15	-9	20	-29	15.0	12.8	2.28	14.3	14.0	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, SEA 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.9,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
CLE 85, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.8%
IND 71, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.7%