NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	4.8 [868]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +25.4%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.3 [941]		LVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): -12.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Damon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	57%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	16	46%	-0.00	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	0.05	20	50%	-0.01	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.10	-0.00	12	88%	0.31	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	2	117%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	19	48%	0.07	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	17	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Eddie House	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.6	33.4	18.6	27.8	3.7	32.3	146.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +38.0%

CLE -2.8%

NJN +17.1%

CLE -3.5%

NJN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.4	91.4	105.5	104.5
season	16.0	15.4		103.2	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	13.7	14.5	16.0	15.0
NJN	14.6	16.9	16.8	16.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	37	36	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.10	10	-21	31	14.8	15.2	-0.37	16.3	16.3	0.03
Daniel Gibson	20	22	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-18	25	14.7	15.1	-0.36	18.8	15.5	3.28
Eric Snow	23	21	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-17	23	15.0	15.1	-0.10	15.2	16.6	-1.42
Ira Newble	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	13.0	15.1	-2.10	19.7	16.2	3.50
Scot Pollard	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	13.0	15.1	-2.10	19.7	16.2	3.50
Damon Jones	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	17.0	15.0	1.99	20.0	16.2	3.80
Donyell Marshall	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-12	13	16.6	14.7	1.90	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Drew Gooden	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	2	-15	14.4	16.8	-2.43	16.7	15.2	1.49
LeBron James	86	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	1	-13	14.9	16.6	-1.66	16.2	18.0	-1.84
Larry Hughes	86	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	3	-17	15.2	13.3	1.89	16.2	17.5	-1.33
Sasha Pavlovic	61	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	0.01	-23	12	-35	15.2	14.7	0.57	15.9	17.0	-1.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	62	60	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.06	-23	12	-35	15.6	14.0	1.60	15.9	17.1	-1.23

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	62	65	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.10	27	-16	43	16.5	15.8	0.72	15.9	12.9	3.01
Jason Collins	52	56	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.04	24	-13	37	16.2	16.4	-0.13	16.1	13.4	2.79
Vince Carter	72	75	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.09	20	-9	29	16.6	15.0	1.63	15.4	13.4	1.97
Jason Kidd	77	82	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-2	15	15.7	19.4	-3.63	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Richard Jefferson	78	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	3	5	16.1	17.5	-1.37	15.0	15.0	0.04
Eddie House	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	20.0	16.2	3.80	17.0	15.0	1.99
Hassan Adams	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	20.0	16.2	3.80	17.0	15.0	1.99
Marcus Williams	7	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	15	-19	18.4	16.1	2.32	12.4	15.2	-2.78
Josh Boone	16	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	13	-15	15.1	16.5	-1.48	12.4	15.5	-3.14
Antoine Wright	33	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	17	-23	17.2	15.7	1.50	14.1	15.5	-1.48
Clifford Robinson	12	11	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	23	-35	15.3	16.4	-1.10	12.5	15.4	-2.82
Bostjan Nachbar	42	40	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.12	-13	24	-37	16.1	16.4	-0.35	14.0	15.8	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.7%
LAL 101, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
DAL 104, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	93.1%