NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	129		Excitement	12.8 [6]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAC): +100.2%
Dallas Mavericks	128		Comeback	16.5 [67]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): -22.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	1.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,1	0.35	0.68	0.03	22	81%	1.03	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.09
Domantas Sabonis	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.09	0.01	10	64%	0.23	3	-0.12	5	40%	-0.10
Keon Ellis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	65%	0.16	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Jake LaRavia	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.31,-0.26,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	17	45%	0.25	4	-0.28	4	75%	0.02
Keegan Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	11	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.19	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	18	47%	-0.06	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.57	0.57	0.12	0.46	0.01	15	63%	0.57	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.39,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.18	-0.00	10	68%	0.42	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.04
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	25	53%	0.26	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.15	0.02	4	75%	0.21	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	10	67%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kylor Kelley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22	-0.22	0.05	-0.28	0.00	16	57%	0.09	3	-0.31	3	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	2.0	24.4	15.3	27.4	2.5	34.2	2.7	15.8	149.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -6.3%

SAC +3.7%

SAC +67.4%

DAL -8.3%

DAL -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	14.4	117.3	113.3	112.6
season	13.9	14.3		114.5	115.1
opponent	14.5	14.8		112.8	114.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	14.7	13.2	13.2	15.6	14.5	14.2
DAL	11.9	15.5	13.5	17.8	12.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	81	83	1.50	-1.00	2.50	0.94	19	-18	37	14.0	14.8	-0.80	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Domantas Sabonis	86	88	1.42	-0.92	2.34	0.86	19	-18	37	14.0	14.8	-0.79	14.6	13.4	1.21
Malik Monk	89	94	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.80	8	-7	15	13.9	15.4	-1.49	14.1	15.5	-1.36
Zach LaVine	71	71	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-4	9	14.0	14.5	-0.57	14.4	14.3	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	32	36	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.05	-6	7	-13	15.4	13.7	1.74	15.6	13.8	1.86
Trey Lyles	23	24	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.06	-10	11	-21	13.9	14.3	-0.38	12.7	14.8	-2.03
Keon Ellis	63	64	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.04	-13	14	-27	15.4	12.6	2.79	15.5	12.8	2.77
Keegan Murray	67	67	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.37	-3	4	-7	13.3	15.5	-2.20	13.7	15.3	-1.65
Jake LaRavia	28	28	-0.88	1.38	-2.26	-0.38	-17	18	-35	14.5	14.0	0.49	13.7	14.6	-0.84

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Hardy	21	18	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.06	10	-11	21	13.0	14.6	-1.59	15.1	14.0	1.06
Daniel Gafford	24	22	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.06	9	-10	19	12.2	14.9	-2.77	14.4	14.1	0.30
Klay Thompson	56	58	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.61	-14	13	-27	15.5	13.2	2.25	13.0	15.5	-2.55
Max Christie	70	69	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.57	23	-24	47	14.3	14.4	-0.16	15.2	12.4	2.84
Kylor Kelley	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	16.7	14.3	2.38	12.0	14.2	-2.23
Dante Exum	40	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	6	-13	14.5	14.2	0.32	13.4	14.6	-1.14
Spencer Dinwiddie	72	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.42	8	-9	17	14.4	14.3	0.12	14.8	13.2	1.60
Naji Marshall	58	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.54	5	-6	11	14.1	14.6	-0.50	15.2	13.2	1.95
Kessler Edwards	58	57	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.45	-10	9	-19	13.2	15.6	-2.41	13.1	15.4	-2.32
Kyrie Irving	92	91	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.60	-7	6	-13	14.7	12.9	1.77	14.0	14.8	-0.75
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	71	69	-1.14	0.64	-1.77	-0.52	-21	20	-41	15.1	13.1	2.03	14.1	14.4	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.7,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.77,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.28,0.55,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 139, NYK 135	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.46,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.23,0.15,0	87.9%
POR 94, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.59,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.27,0	87.7%
BOS 112, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.09,0	87.5%