NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	127		Excitement	5.6 [697]		MVP	Damian Lillard (MIL): +29.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	135		Comeback	1.9 [403]		LVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): -8.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	71%	0.20	5	-0.10	10	90%	0.03
Tyrese Maxey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.25	-0.03	0.13	23	80%	0.17	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Paul George	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	63%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.17	0.00	0.14	10	86%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	11	45%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.25	0.06	0.02	27	70%	0.36	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	14	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	7	65%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	20	53%	0.01	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	13	46%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.4	29.1	15.8	30.1	2.7	30.2	139.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +5.4%

MIL +10.0%

MIL +26.1%

MIL +7.1%

MIL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	12.9	15.0	14.4	123.3	131.1	113.0
season	15.0	14.4		110.4	114.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.2	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	10.9	12.7	17.3	11.6	12.9
MIL	14.9	16.8	14.0	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Council IV	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	6.5	13.0	-6.55	10.3	15.2	-4.85
Joel Embiid	65	65	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-2	-4	12.8	13.1	-0.21	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Paul George	62	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	-2	-4	12.7	13.3	-0.62	15.3	14.6	0.75
Kyle Lowry	14	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-4	0	13.5	12.8	0.67	12.8	15.3	-2.50
Kelly Oubre Jr.	76	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.47	10	-18	28	13.0	12.8	0.20	15.6	13.3	2.32
Jared Butler	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	5	-18	13.8	12.6	1.16	12.8	15.8	-3.01
Justin Edwards	47	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-14	20	13.1	12.7	0.38	14.8	15.2	-0.42
Guerschon Yabusele	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	12.0	13.9	-1.94	15.6	14.5	1.12
Eric Gordon	17	17	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	4	-16	15.4	12.4	2.98	14.6	15.1	-0.54
Tyrese Maxey	86	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.35	-1	-7	6	12.5	15.2	-2.70	15.6	12.1	3.50
Quentin Grimes	67	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	2	-12	13.4	11.9	1.50	14.8	15.5	-0.70

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Green	53	53	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.20	28	-20	48	13.9	16.2	-2.30	14.0	11.8	2.14
Bobby Portis	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-5	18	15.0	15.1	-0.14	13.2	12.5	0.66
Gary Trent Jr.	71	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-2	12	14.8	15.5	-0.67	13.0	12.7	0.39
Damian Lillard	93	94	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	5	-2	15.2	13.1	2.15	13.1	10.6	2.59
Kyle Kuzma	77	78	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	9	-10	15.2	14.7	0.46	12.6	13.9	-1.32
Ryan Rollins	10	9	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	3	2	13.1	15.2	-2.15	10.6	13.1	-2.59
Taurean Prince	58	59	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.47	-13	21	-34	15.9	14.0	1.92	12.8	13.1	-0.37
Brook Lopez	54	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	5	-2	14.8	15.3	-0.51	12.9	13.0	-0.12
Andre Jackson Jr.	36	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	16	-24	15.9	14.6	1.39	11.7	13.5	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 75, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
BOS 87, CHH 105	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIN 76, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%