NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	102		Excitement	3.4 [1116]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +11.5%
Detroit Pistons	112		Comeback	1.0 [1201]		LVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): -12.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.20	0.02	0.13	17	74%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
KJ Simpson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.06	0.00	7	59%	0.09	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Moussa Diabate	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Wong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.05	0.07	9	85%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	12	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.10	-0.04	0.19	20	64%	-0.04	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	13	74%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	10	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.04	-0.02	16	53%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	9	70%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	17	50%	0.06	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	32.6	15.4	30.4	1.8	28.4	135.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.1%

DET +5.3%

DET +11.4%

DET +12.5%

DET +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	14.4	107.4	121.7	113.0
season	15.0	14.1		106.2	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.2		111.9	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.1	14.0	15.5	16.2	15.4
DET	13.2	15.4	17.2	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	41	38	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-17	24	14.7	16.0	-1.23	15.6	15.2	0.36
DaQuan Jeffries	61	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-6	2	15.7	15.0	0.63	15.2	15.6	-0.35
KJ Simpson	61	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-16	22	15.4	15.5	-0.06	16.3	13.5	2.82
Moussa Diabate	14	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	3	-16	15.6	15.4	0.16	14.1	15.6	-1.53
Isaiah Wong	49	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-5	0	14.9	16.0	-1.02	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Seth Curry	71	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-13	16	15.3	15.7	-0.37	15.9	13.9	1.94
Elfrid Payton	47	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	1	-12	15.0	15.9	-0.85	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Tidjane Salaun	61	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.14	-17	7	-24	16.3	13.9	2.32	14.8	16.5	-1.73
Miles Bridges	70	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.20	-16	6	-22	15.6	14.8	0.80	15.1	16.1	-1.01

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	64	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-10	30	15.3	15.6	-0.34	15.8	14.5	1.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.	56	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	2	6	15.5	15.2	0.29	15.4	15.4	0.04
Jalen Duren	60	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	0	10	14.8	16.4	-1.54	15.5	15.2	0.29
Cade Cunningham	71	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	5	0	15.4	15.2	0.17	15.5	15.1	0.38
Malik Beasley	49	51	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	15.4	15.3	0.04	15.7	15.1	0.59
Simone Fontecchio	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	6	-2	15.0	15.5	-0.54	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Dennis Schroder	28	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	7	-4	15.2	15.5	-0.27	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Isaiah Stewart	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	10	-10	16.4	14.8	1.54	15.2	15.5	-0.29
Ausar Thompson	43	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	8	-6	15.4	15.4	0.00	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Ronald Holland II	28	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.28	-11	21	-32	15.8	15.2	0.65	14.0	16.0	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.64,0.86,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 108, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.2%
CLE 79, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.92,1	94.3%
CHI 101, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,1	93.9%