NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	4.2 [975]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +12.5%
Denver Nuggets	117		Comeback	1.0 [610]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -13.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	-0.02	11	64%	0.07	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	11	41%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Lang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donell Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.05	24	48%	-0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	21	46%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	30	38%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.08	0.05	18	57%	0.13	1	-0.00	15	93%	0.05
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	13	69%	0.10	2	-0.02	10	70%	-0.03
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	10	40%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	20	51%	0.12	5	-0.13	13	54%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	26.8	14.8	25.4	2.4	40.6	136.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +40.9%

DEN +18.7%

DEN +5.2%

WAS -15.6%

DEN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	14.3	12.8	15.4	101.9	109.3	104.5
season	14.8	14.0		107.8	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.2	13.6	12.3	14.0	14.3
DEN	10.5	13.1	17.0	10.8	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donell Taylor	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-13	17	13.6	14.5	-0.85	13.0	12.7	0.36
James Lang	6	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-12	15	15.0	14.2	0.75	18.3	12.4	5.92
Andray Blatche	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-10	11	13.2	14.5	-1.27	12.5	12.8	-0.30
Jarvis Hayes	54	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-7	5	13.9	14.7	-0.71	12.2	13.4	-1.24
Calvin Booth	12	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	5	-19	18.2	13.8	4.37	9.8	13.1	-3.29
Antonio Daniels	17	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.16	-13	4	-17	15.7	14.0	1.68	9.9	13.3	-3.38
Roger Mason Jr.	23	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	3	-15	13.2	14.6	-1.43	8.5	14.0	-5.54
Brendan Haywood	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-10	11	14.9	13.6	1.24	14.1	11.2	2.91
Gilbert Arenas	96	96	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-10	11	14.0	17.3	-3.32	12.9	11.5	1.45
Antawn Jamison	80	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-5	1	14.5	13.7	0.85	13.0	11.9	1.16
Caron Butler	89	89	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-6	3	14.1	15.3	-1.19	12.7	12.8	-0.09
DeShawn Stevenson	62	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	14.3	14.3	-0.08	13.9	11.3	2.53

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	56	56	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-1	11	11.8	13.8	-1.93	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Marcus Camby	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-7	23	11.7	15.5	-3.81	14.8	12.9	1.87
Andre Miller	86	87	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	3	3	12.8	12.7	0.11	13.9	16.1	-2.21
Yakhouba Diawara	89	90	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	5	-1	12.7	12.8	-0.09	14.1	15.2	-1.05
Earl Boykins	69	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	8	-7	12.5	13.2	-0.74	13.7	15.3	-1.55
Reggie Evans	39	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	6	-3	13.5	12.3	1.23	14.3	14.3	0.02
Linas Kleiza	66	65	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	4	1	13.4	11.8	1.62	15.8	11.8	4.02
DerMarr Johnson	18	16	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	4	1	12.8	12.7	0.09	15.2	14.1	1.05
Joe Smith	35	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	14	-19	15.0	11.7	3.33	13.1	14.9	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.96,0.99,1	94.6%
DET 92, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.95,0.97,1,1	94.2%
CLE 79, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.92,1	94.0%