inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 118 Excitement7.0 [425] MVPZion Williamson (NOP): +25.5%
Sacramento Kings 123 Comeback6.8 [468] LVPTrey Murphy III (NOP): -16.0%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0.250,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.28,0.24,0.250.250.060.062175%0.303-0.051173%0.02
CJ McCollum0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.220.160.04-0.021970%0.323-0.10683%-0.00
Karlo Matkovic0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.013100%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Antonio Reeves0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.02-0.02350%0.0500.0000%0.00
Brandon Boston0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.00-0.01-0.04855%0.062-0.03450%-0.03
Jose Alvarado-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01642%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Javonte Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Hawkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0240%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Yves Missi-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.01-0.02617%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Trey Murphy III-0.160,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.01-0.140.011850%-0.033-0.13475%-0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.070.09-0.011859%0.252-0.071060%-0.03
Keegan Murray0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.04-0.011558%0.142-0.033100%0.02
Keon Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.020.02681%0.111-0.02450%-0.01
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.001463%0.163-0.107100%0.06
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.040.040.020.01-0.01275%0.061-0.024100%0.02
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.02642%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jake LaRavia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.03487%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Malik Monk0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.01-0.041445%0.075-0.101100%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06-0.06-0.090.00-0.021239%-0.013-0.05475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.31.630.314.534.52.439.3145.0
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.1134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +4.3%
SAC +13.7%
SAC +33.0%
NOP -3.7%
SAC +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPSACNBANOPSACNBA
this game13.212.814.4107.3109.8113.1
season14.414.3109.3115.1
opponent14.614.3114.9118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP12.212.914.812.813.2
SAC14.912.010.613.912.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Reeves32320.25-0.751.01-0.1614-193312.413.5-1.0914.712.02.77
Yves Missi72730.05-0.550.59-0.4517-223913.512.51.0412.613.0-0.36
Jose Alvarado6568-0.11-0.390.29-0.286-111713.812.31.5512.213.6-1.32
Zion Williamson6367-0.15-0.350.21-0.264-91312.314.4-2.1313.212.11.10
CJ McCollum7679-0.20-0.300.09-0.355-101513.811.91.8812.313.9-1.62
Brandon Boston3534-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-105-1511.913.8-1.8614.212.22.02
Jordan Hawkins4343-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.06-149-2312.313.7-1.3713.312.40.94
Javonte Green3936-0.520.02-0.530.01-1813-3113.612.90.7111.613.3-1.70
Trey Murphy III8789-0.540.04-0.58-0.34-72-913.910.63.2512.215.0-2.81
Karlo Matkovic3839-0.550.05-0.590.10-2217-3912.513.5-1.0413.012.60.36

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keon Ellis74720.65-0.150.810.2414-92312.912.40.4913.612.51.08
Zach LaVine86850.61-0.110.730.417-2912.314.4-2.1113.910.92.98
Jonas Valanciunas34320.51-0.010.52-0.0218-133113.512.41.0911.513.9-2.42
Keegan Murray84820.320.180.140.44-49-1312.414.0-1.6013.811.52.26
Malik Monk77740.200.30-0.090.2005-513.211.91.2412.414.9-2.54
Jake LaRavia28280.180.32-0.14-0.089-41314.012.41.6011.513.8-2.26
DeMar DeRozan74740.040.46-0.420.25-712-1912.313.6-1.2713.612.41.18
Domantas Sabonis7878-0.010.51-0.520.37-1318-3112.413.5-1.0913.911.52.42
Trey Lyles2525-0.010.51-0.53-0.0414-314.012.41.6411.113.8-2.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.34,0.22,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.45,0.44,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.88,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.86,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 87, DAL 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.98,191.2%
WAS 91, HOU 1010.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.95,1,189.9%
MIN 108, CHA 1100.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.95,189.7%