inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 105 Excitement5.6 [690] MVPNaji Marshall (DAL): +21.2%
Dallas Mavericks 116 Comeback1.1 [922] LVPSteven Adams (HOU): -10.1%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alperen Sengun0.090,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.010.031962%0.162-0.071070%0.00
Dillon Brooks0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.02945%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Amen Thompson0.030,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.031471%0.114-0.0800%0.00
Tari Eason0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.01940%0.0000.002100%0.01
Aaron Holiday-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jae'Sean Tate-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jalen Green-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.030.042155%0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Reed Sheppard-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.01623%-0.0500.001100%0.00
Cam Whitmore-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.01833%-0.0700.005100%0.02
Steven Adams-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.01-0.01911%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naji Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.130.080.001080%0.2100.0000%0.00
Max Christie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.120.120.160.020.061077%0.121-0.001090%0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.00583%0.101-0.02250%-0.02
Anthony Davis0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.000.031862%0.091-0.01667%-0.01
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.070.07-0.021536%0.051-0.02683%0.02
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.001446%0.0200.0000%0.00
P.J. Washington0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.004100%0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kessler Edwards00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dante Exum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.01350%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Daniel Gafford0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00442%-0.021-0.02425%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.433.214.626.31.843.0145.7
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +45.3%
DAL +5.0%
HOU -16.0%
DAL +14.6%
DAL +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUDALNBAHOUDALNBA
this game15.815.014.4111.7124.7113.0
season14.814.3113.9113.3
opponent14.414.3114.4109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.216.817.513.115.8
DAL13.213.716.816.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae'Sean Tate99-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-111117.915.62.2714.015.1-1.06
Aaron Holiday55-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-9719.415.63.7618.414.83.64
Steven Adams4239-0.10-0.400.31-0.214-151916.515.31.1516.913.63.30
Reed Sheppard1413-0.15-0.350.200.05-7-4-318.215.42.7915.114.90.14
Cam Whitmore3737-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-8516.215.60.6615.814.41.42
Alperen Sengun7575-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-6115.517.3-1.7814.815.7-0.95
Amen Thompson7474-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.01-121-1315.218.3-3.1914.815.7-0.91
Dillon Brooks7271-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-2-715.716.2-0.4514.915.2-0.29
Jalen Green8282-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.12-9-2-715.418.8-3.4314.716.6-1.90
Tari Eason6060-0.560.06-0.63-0.21-121-1316.015.60.4413.916.9-3.07

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Spencer Dinwiddie44440.53-0.030.560.211101116.014.11.8916.215.50.64
Kyrie Irving79790.380.120.250.2065115.213.71.4616.512.53.94
P.J. Washington31330.330.170.16-0.1717-62313.315.8-2.5518.014.73.33
Anthony Davis60600.290.210.090.0392714.715.4-0.7216.215.21.04
Dante Exum46450.290.210.08-0.031101113.916.0-2.0713.817.7-3.83
Naji Marshall50490.260.240.030.1547-314.315.7-1.3814.817.0-2.14
Klay Thompson39420.200.30-0.110.0556-115.714.41.2217.214.72.48
Daniel Gafford49490.200.30-0.110.20011-1115.314.60.6516.814.82.00
Max Christie63630.020.48-0.450.26-819-2715.913.02.9414.917.7-2.79
Olivier-Maxence Prosper230.000.50-0.500.00011-1111.015.0-4.045.016.2-11.20
Kessler Edwards230.000.50-0.500.00011-1111.015.0-4.045.016.2-11.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.78,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 105, CLE 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,195.1%
CLE 89, HOU 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.75,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,193.9%
MIA 76, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.9%